lol - goodbye hertz
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:faf: Aye they'll write off £25 million of debt and forget about their claim on Tynie for a CVA share of £2M right enough. How much did Duff and Duffer get for their handywork again? £2.7 million, wasn't it? http://news.stv.tv/west-central/1875...dministration/
Who has said it's acceptable to the creditors?
Don't forget the administrators fees.
Even then, what would it really get the creditors? Would it not all be taken by the secured creditors? If it was/is the case that it would all go to those who hold the securities the ordinary creditors would get Zip. And BDO's fees would then be deducted to boot. And what would happen to the cash at the bank?
Ah, the ancient Chinese philosophy. Jambos are living in interesting times, are they not?
From my window I see the sunshine, I hear the the birdies singing in the trees. It's a beautiful day ...
http://santamilagros.files.wordpress...6/vultures.jpg
The three prospective bidders. Massone's the one in the middle.
They could very well get liquidated.
But do they go to division three or the lowland league?
Aw, gonnae no be nasty to the nice birdies?
When you compare a vulture to a Yam, it's the vulture who has grounds for legal action, not the Yam.
I don't have a clue. One of our resident experts, CWG appears to be the "on call advisor" this morning. What is obvious though is that the first 2 bids are more beneficial to the debtors than the creditors. Something far wrong if that scenario was accepted, which I don't believe they will.
GGTTH
I should have said the Massone bid is the most advantageous to the creditors and BDO. Cash for running costs shouldn't be of interest to them.
Nasty carrion-devouring scavenger:
http://www.scotsman.com/webimage/1.2.../490016676.jpg
Nice birdie:
http://www.picgifs.com/bird-graphics...ure-067562.bmp
The Yams:
http://paulbernal.files.wordpress.co...from-grave.jpg
at best the Liths in total get £4.5m from the unpopular liquidation of Tynie. This way they are not seen as killing the club. In a CVA their proportion of the debt is the amount their debt exceeds the assets they are secured on which will make them 90% of the creditors. So £5m gives them £4.5m and leaves Massone with the knife in his hands!
I think the plan is to liquidate once the SPFL is underway.
They then will have a better chance of not being thrown out.
Based on these bids it looks like the yams debt after administration will be somewhere around £8 million except, this time around, they'll actually be paying interest.
Eventually if Massone takes charge. In the next few weeks if he does not. Did not think anybody would come in with £5m upfront on the table. But the question is as I poised before does 5 star really have the money and what are the conditions they have laid down for the bid. BDO saying none of the bids acceptable. Probability wise I am still going 70% certainty of liquidation now against 100% later! Sit back and enjoy the ride!
C'mon guys, a lot of you are basing your thoughts on what Barry Anderson says the bids are. That's not the most reliable of evidence.
As for the Record, I have my doubts about that amount too.
Get yerselves over to the Private Members' Forum. Here endeth the advert.
The beyond parody Ian 'I'm an MP' Murray latest Twitter offering.
Ian Murray MP @IanMurrayMP38m
“@AcanthusHome: Acanthus Decorating Sale! Paint, paper, fabrics & lighting - over 50% off items! pic.twitter.com/7A0TTjFUn6” gr8 local business.
:faf:
Barry's numbers most likely include all sorts of caveats and conditions of the "we'll pay you x now, y later and z if Hearts stay up / win the cup / qualify for Europe" variety. That was the impression I took when Jackson explained why the bids as made this week would not be acceptable to the Lithuanians.
For context, the offer made by the Blue Knights for Rangers included a payment of £2M if Rangers reached the quarter finals of the Champions League.
No, really.
:cb
Thats my worry.:confused:
And as CWG said £x would go to the secured and £y would go towards a CVA. Allisbarry has Massone bidding £4m, not £5m, which would reduce the pot to both parties considerably, less BDO's fees. And the new owner also picks up any cash that BDO has raised? Is that right?
I also assume that "working capital" does not benefit the creditors 1p but benefits Hearts greatly.
Why would the Liths. be interested in any way ,shape or form, in the amount the new owners are going to put in to run the Club after they have retied back to Lithland with a few pennies in exchange for the £ 70 odd million Ukio Bankas are down on the deal when Vlad decided to buy Hearts.
The Liths should play hardball. FOH are in this to save Hearts so tell them its £ 2million for the Club and a 2 year lease on the ground and then it goes on the open market. Plenty time to establish the true possibilities for the site and time for FOH to raise cash for the purchase price or to have sold their cream of Scottish youth to Chelsea, PSG or whoever.
Really - property prices are bouncing back strongly and it was valued at more than £20m six years ago. There has to be a realisitic chance of getting at least the secured value on it in an open market sale. Why wouldn't the Liths want to test out its development value?
Down 3.7% in the last quarter! They have already done this through the BDO advert.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/spl/h...es/html/qp.stm
Barry's figures are wrong. I wasn't given the working capital figures yesterday but the CVA money is way out. Every one of them is higher than the figure I was told and I've no reason to doubt my source as he's been bang on about everything thus far. What's laughable is even Barry's exaggerated numbers are unlikely to save Hearts.
http://www.scotsman.com/edinburgh-ev...bids-1-3000656
Thanks to the financial whizzes on here, i thought i was getting my head around this. The EEN today is confusing. Anyone decipher this paragraph particularly.
Quote:
Foundation of Hearts’ offer totals £5.75 million, including £2m to fund a Creditors’ Voluntary Arrangement (CVA). The remaining £3.75m would come from fans. The Foundation calculate that cash pledges from around 5700 fans at an average of £18.50 per month can be used as working capital to run Hearts for the next three years.
The whole FOH bid is massively flawed. What Barry doesn't take in to account is that some of that Direct Debit money has to be used to pay back the CVA money to the people who loaned it to FOH in the first place and there is absolutely no way in hell they'll still have 5700 Direct Debits in 3 years time. The whole business model just doesn't work.
I wonder if Banderson will end up being held partially culpable for their demise?
His endless allisbarry chat is funny to us, but they actually believe it! Complacency born of his "there are no tanks in Baghdad" lies is going to kill them.
From the Wonga million to these vastly inflated figures, the average Hearts fan who only reads the papers thinks that things are a lot less serious than they are.
Cheers Baz, you total roaster.
Definitely a touch of the reaper about him!
Attachment 10504
It means their offer to the Lithuanians is £2M.
The money they hope/expect to raise from pledges is £1.25M a year for the next three years. This would be used to subsidise the running of the club after they've taken over.
In a sense it's quite a realistic bid, because any new owner will need external finance (in the case of FOH, the pledges) to run the club. They've effectively lost 6000+ ST sales this season because it was used to pay last year's bills before they went bust, so they definitely need subsidising this year. Then there's the risk of being relegated, which would affect them in years 2 and 3 (at least, with Rangers coming up). The biggest problem with the bid is that £2M is below even a conservative estimate of what the Lithuanians could make by just liquidating the company.
The FT ad was for the business and assets of Hearts, ie to continue as a football club.
It's only if the offers on that basis fall well short of expectations will they seriously explore the option of selling it on a break-up basis.
They wouldn't be killing the club, just relieving them of their stadium. They're talking about moving anyway and you can just bet once all this - "It's only worth a pittance" - is done with and they've bought it for said pittance, they'll be trying to sell it for a bundle to help finance their new stadium somewhere new.
wonder how much the prize money is for winning the administration cup :tee hee:
Realistic in the sense its what they think they can afford. There must be serious doubts about 5000+ pledgers over three years. They would probably have to pay the person(s), who ponied up the original £2m, back during that time period as well, wouldn't want to wait beyond that if i was the original lender.
Has Massone possibly appealed to the seller by just giving a figure as i don't see why they would be interested in working capital unless its linked to the bid. ie your previous post with conditions for more money to be paid over an agreed period of time ?
If BDO were serious in their efforts to get offers for the land only they would have advertised it a bit more prominently than they have.
If it was'nt for Hibs.net I would have been totally unaware of the potential asset sale and I don't suppose we are the first point of contact for parties interested in 7acres of city centre land.
I dare say BDO can wire back the Lith admin. and tell him there had been no interest in the land only despite it being advertised. I wonder if BDO even bothered to drop a private note to Companies and agents who might be interested.
I know that, but my question was about whether it was a genuine ad.Quote:
Originally Posted by Part/Time Supporter
The closing date for offers in that ad was yesterday. I know of two enquiries, neither of whom have had acknowledgements or responses from BDO.
If it's genuine, I can understand why they put it out there. I'm unconvinced, though.
Just wondering if Hearts are liquidated, which is looking more likely by the day, should we wear the black strip for the rest of the season as a mark of respect.
Just a suggestion. :greengrin
Bajillions
[B] "..........there is absolutely no way in hell they'll still have 5700 Direct Debits in 3 years time. The whole business model just doesn't work @ /B].[/QUOTE]
Spot on !!
As I have posted on here earlier I have Jambo mates who don't intend leaving the DD in place after 31st December 2013 .
@ Club has to be run as a business ' is their take on the situation
To be honest for the ordinary guy in the street like most of us on here there are far too many imponderables re the debts to the Lithuanians to be able to make any real forecast as to what will happen in the short to mid term
:rolleyes:
..which is the other question that's been bugging me :greengrin
When I first raised my question, it was because it had been seen on BusinessesForSale.com, which is free. At that time, I didn't realise that it was in the FT.... when I realised that, my suspicions eased.
Until this week when, as I say, I know of two enquiries.... etc etc.
Factor into that the misleading statements in the ad......
This is what I don't get - the piddling amounts (allegedly) being offered when, in reality, they've had an amount of money poured into them that's a lot more than this much-vaunted £25m. Doesn't the 'Debt-for-Equity' deals take the actual amount of hard, physical cash to approximately £60m ??. If I'd given someone a loan of £60 and all they offered back was £2, I'd be looking to give that someone a boot in the plums - i.e - Sell their property ??
Some plots in west Edinburgh (less attractive and further out than gorgie) are attracting 10-12 bidders for land.
Roughly £10m land value per 100 homes
Tynecastles got a value as housing land or supermarket land
This bit from The Evening News article:
A CVA would enable Hearts to exit administration if it is accepted by the club’s main creditors Ukio Bankas and Ukio Bankas Investment Group (UBIG), who are owed £15m and £10m respectively. They would need to agree to accept a small portion of that amount for a CVA to go through.
Is it not the case that UKIO are secured creditors, and UBIG are more than likely to be. If so, are they both excluded from the CVA?
No. They would get a vote in any CVA proposal, but the likelihood is that they wouldn't be able to block any proposal. It's up to the Lithuanians. Truth is that if they get as far as a CVA being tabled it would almost certainly pass because they would have agreed it in advance with the main creditors.
As far as I can tell, UKIO are secured and UBIG are unsecured. UBIG were secured, but that security was transferred to Ukio along with some of the debt last year.
I disagree. If it is sold off to a developer then it will get planning permission easily. There is no way that the council would want to have a derelict pile of junk in the middle of the city sitting there doing nothing and rotting into an even bigger mess than it is now. At least at the moment the derelict pile of junk has a football club playing there, although hopefully not for much longer
What surprises me most is the FOH bid, although maybe not considering their inept performance so far.
£2m, even double that, is a derisory amount for the club they seemingly hold in such high regard. Its hardly worth BDO even discussing it with them.
Was it just chat on here, or maybe I imagined it, that BDO dropped hints they'd be looking for around £10m? i.e. the amounts being discussed above as land value.
Now that Hearts have won the first silverware of the season, in the form of the Administration Cup, I wonder if we can expect to see them immediately use the riches conferred and splash out on new players?
Looks like things are looking up for them after their outstanding performance in todays begging bowl cup to lift the famous trophy and a share of the gate money fron the whopping 4000 crowd
I noticed there was a bumper 4500 at the administration cip match today. After costs are deducted there won't be much left
Where did the Romanov pic on this thread come from? Is it photoshop handy work, did he lose a bet and have to wear the top or is it he was a Hibbie all along?
Of course this depends on what value HMFC is given but that should match the the highest bid (£4-5 million). Also is the £10 million UBIG debt secured? My feeling is no as the shares they hold come from the debt to equity conversions. This still leaves Ukio Bankas with £10m of debt (15m -5m) in a CVA vote so unless the remaining unsecured debt exceed £3.33m they will have more than 75% of any CVA vote.