A government funded body campaigning for this for decades finds what is asked to find. Doctors groups were attacking the snp last week for stopping mask wearing. They will always go pro mitigation they don't care about finance's ect.This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Your bright but be objective here. There headline findings was although deaths went up in Scotland to a record level, it went up slower than in England. They say therfore it saved lives so we should continue it.
They didn't say over the 30 years we've recorded deaths due to alcohol before minimum pricing, Scotland and England have went up and down with no mitigations.
Why did they choose England and just for one year. What if they chose to compare us with Northern Ireland. So in the last year Scotlands deaths have risen to a new record. In Northern Ireland they have dropped for a second year in a row, Northern Ireland has no minimum pricing. If I said I compared the two countries and concluded minimum pricing has caused deaths you'd say your a nitwit correctly.
A thread on it that is stating the obvious. They conducted 4 studies into its success. 3 showed no difference (well one showed problem drinkers were spending less on food but still drinking) and one was comparing us to England for one year
https://twitter.com/cjsnowdon/status/1673599530929881089
Results 8,101 to 8,130 of 11608
Thread: SNP are lying b******s as well !
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19-07-2023 08:28 PM #8101
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19-07-2023 09:04 PM #8102This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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19-07-2023 09:24 PM #8103
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19-07-2023 09:32 PM #8104
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So tell me what is wrong with any of what he has said. Its just daft using one year of Scotland v England to say they both rose but England's rise faster so the difference must be mup, don't look at northern Ireland. The rise and falls now won't be from minimum pricing if if does save lives it will be decades from now as alchahol deaths are due to a lifetime of drinking
What about biostatistician Dr Adam Jacobs, Senior Director, Biostatistical Sciences at Premier Research, said:
“The paper claims to have found a statistically significant decrease in deaths that are due to drinking alcohol – a decrease of 13.4%. I have two problems with that number. First, there may be some uncertainty in attributing which deaths were ‘wholly attributable’ to alcohol consumption, and the paper would be more convincing to me if they presented statistics on all-cause mortality.
“Second, figure 1 in the paper appears to show the trend for mortality increasing since the MUP was implemented. There may be reasons why despite this there is statistically a decrease in deaths due to alcohol, but I would find it more convincing if you could see the death rate actually decreasing in the raw data..
Or Professor Kevin McConway
my main concern is that there is a lot of causal interpretation here.
This is an observational study, and no matter how well other factors are controlled for, it can never prove conclusively that the changes observed in deaths were due to the minimum unit pricing policy. In my view there hasn’t been enough caution given around assuming this relationship is causal
Second, figure 1 in the paper appears to show the trend for mortality increasing since the MUP was implemented. There may be reasons why despite this there is statistically a decrease in deaths due to alcohol, but I would find it more convincing if you could see the death rate actually decreasing in the raw data
I also think there are some questions to ask around what would be expected to happen in terms of a time lag between the policy being brought in and deaths being averted – would we expect large numbers of deaths to have been prevented already given that many deaths due to alcohol are due to chronic conditions
However, all this just shows that there were decreases in deaths after the MUP policy was brought in – but that doesn’t necessarily imply that the decrease in deaths was caused by MUP
Or just yourself look at the fluctuations in the drink deaths between Scotland and England over the years
Screenshot_20230719_222155_Chrome.jpg
Here's Scotlands rise since mup
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19-07-2023 09:40 PM #8105
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The BMJ BMA thousands of doctors wrote to the government saying don't make the gap between first and second jabs 12 weeks when they first came out. The EU Pfizer and pretty much everyone on here slammed uk government for it. Turns out it saved 10k lives and 60k hospitalisations. The point is BMJ is full of opinions often saying the opposite
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.imperial.ac.uk/news/243032/delaying-second-doses-vaccine-reduced-covid-19/amp/
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19-07-2023 09:42 PM #8106This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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19-07-2023 09:53 PM #8107
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On the other side of the coin I also think this is ridiculous to say without proof. Minimum pricing helping the rise in deaths as people turn to street drugs. If Minimum pricing works its probably be a few decades to effect deaths as the Prof above says. The midnight clause means they need something though. It might work I don't know. But I don't think it's a priority. It also won't be popular so if humza says we need a consistent and clear lead in the polls for a second referendum, it makes me think getting one isn't a priority
https://archive.ph/6JWyh
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20-07-2023 08:54 AM #8108This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote"...when Hibs won the Scottish Cup final and that celebration, Sunshine on Leith? I don’t think there’s a better football celebration ever in the game.”
Sir Alex Ferguson
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21-07-2023 07:58 AM #8110This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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21-07-2023 08:23 AM #8111This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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21-07-2023 08:41 AM #8112This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
I don't think the SNP are doing a particularly good job with education for example. Sturgeon even said to judge her on education. Instead ferries are the stick to hit the government with?"...when Hibs won the Scottish Cup final and that celebration, Sunshine on Leith? I don’t think there’s a better football celebration ever in the game.”
Sir Alex Ferguson
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21-07-2023 10:38 AM #8113This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
I'm unclear why yes voters get so riled by criticism of the SG's shambolic role in the ferries fiasco. Their much-lauded ferries plan, launched in 2012, has been one long catalogue of costly failure.
There seems to be a mindset that 'it's only a couple of boats' from those who have no need to use our island ferries, but the network is a vital lifeline not only to the islands' populations but for tourism. We're just back from a few days on Raasay (fantastic place to visit) and while the ferry trip is a short one, its absence would see the island's community-led summer programme of activity grind to a total halt.
This is well over a year old, so things have unravelled even more spectacularly since then, but it provides a good summary of the issues at stake:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-61161932
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21-07-2023 10:42 AM #8114This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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21-07-2023 10:45 AM #8115
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21-07-2023 10:47 AM #8116
There seems to be a mindset from people of a particular political persuasion to keep this story in the limelight for as long as possible, to squeeze as much outrage out of this as possible. Likely in the hope that it will distract people's attentions away from far more significant fiasco's south of the border that are costing us a great deal more than this ever will.
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21-07-2023 10:52 AM #8117This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
There's always going to be a bit of sniping when it comes to politics and you accept that opponents will take an opportunity have a pop where possible. Occasionally mistakes will be made and occasionally public resource fiascos will arise. It just feels like the "ferries card" gets overplayed a bit, especially when you consider some of the eyewatering waste of public resource that is happening at Westminster. Whataboutery I know, but it's not an argument without merit because perspective can be important.
It's so long since Labour have had responsibility for anything that they should have no shortage of targets for attack without fear of reproach. The continued choice of "the ferries" as being the one in Scotland I think rankles because it gives a distinct feeling about who Scottish Labour feel their true opponents are, at a time when they're supposedly winning us back over in droves.
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21-07-2023 11:02 AM #8118This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
The standard eye-rolling or laughing emoji response to these stories (or to those criticising the glacial-paced A9 duelling) don't exactly constitute a valid defence of the SG's incompetence.
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21-07-2023 11:03 AM #8119This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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21-07-2023 11:16 AM #8120This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
As it is though.
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21-07-2023 11:23 AM #8121
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21-07-2023 11:24 AM #8122
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21-07-2023 12:04 PM #8123This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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21-07-2023 12:15 PM #8124This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Being told what I should think or do is, along with the stock 'what about the Tories' riposte, on a par with the laughing emoji counter argument.
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21-07-2023 12:19 PM #8125This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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21-07-2023 12:23 PM #8126
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21-07-2023 12:37 PM #8127This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
The same SNP that is only there to achieve independence, what will they do once they have achieved their only reason for being?There is no such thing as too much yarn, just not enough time.
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21-07-2023 01:26 PM #8129This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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21-07-2023 01:27 PM #8130This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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