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  1. #7831
    @hibs.net private member Bostonhibby's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by neil7908 View Post
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    The pound has also dropped massively against the Australian dollar.
    Didn't we recently have a foreign secretary & Trade secretary who was heavily promoting the virtues of a rather lopsided trade deal with Australia?

    Hopefully the exchange rate on all our imports will have been shrewdly managed, as ever.

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    Last edited by Bostonhibby; 26-09-2022 at 07:50 PM.

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  3. #7832
    Coaching Staff hibsbollah's Avatar
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    Was speaking to an Argentinian today, who has had to live with economic growth instability and hyperinflation for many years down there. When asked for advice he said ‘if you need any electrical appliances, or think you will need a new one in the next year or so, buy them NOW, because they are about to skyrocket in price more than anything else’. (All the components are imported, falling value of pound makes imports more expensive with soaring inflation as a multiplying factor).
    Last edited by hibsbollah; 26-09-2022 at 07:56 PM.

  4. #7833
    Testimonial Due Hibby Bairn's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by neil7908 View Post
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    The pound has also dropped massively against the Australian dollar.
    The AUSD is also trading at about 80% of its value from 5 years ago v USD.

    The AUSD v GBP is more or less the same as it was 5 years ago at 0.6 to the £.

  5. #7834
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hibby Bairn View Post
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    The AUSD is also trading at about 80% of its value from 5 years ago v USD.

    The AUSD v GBP is more or less the same as it was 5 years ago at 0.6 to the £.
    @saylor
    Over the past year currencies have collapsed against the dollar:

    CAD -8%, CNY -9%, AUD -11%, ZAR -17%, KRW -18%, EUR -18%, PLN -21%, GBP -22%, JPY -23%, TRY -52%

  6. #7835
    @hibs.net private member cabbageandribs1875's Avatar
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  7. #7836
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stairway 2 7 View Post
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    @saylor
    Over the past year currencies have collapsed against the dollar:

    CAD -8%, CNY -9%, AUD -11%, ZAR -17%, KRW -18%, EUR -18%, PLN -21%, GBP -22%, JPY -23%, TRY -52%
    A strong dollar is bad for America as well. This is the Trump Stock pump drying out and the US dipping into their o and g reserves to keep Europe going more than anything else.

    The dimwit Truss is trying a mini version here. I'd actually be in favour of more QE despite the inflation it's essentially government borrowing interest free as the BOE controls it similar to lockdown this is supply lead inflation mainly. What we'll end up with is the government and the BOE being at loggerheads.

    Insider trading should be investigated but the UK isn't robust at all in tackling Fraud on that scale as the fraudsters control the government.

    The lack of morality is the real story with the Truss give away. Britain's debt is on the lower scale of the G7 there is scope for some spending or was. Unfortunately the cretin in charge is going to blow it in a hurry securing her post Westminster future.

    Why any Scot isn't at least considering Indy is beyond me.

  8. #7837
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    Labour 4/7 tories 5/4 on skybet for next election. Nows the time if you think tories will win

  9. #7838
    @hibs.net private member Hibernia&Alba's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stairway 2 7 View Post
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    Labour 4/7 tories 5/4 on skybet for next election. Nows the time if you think tories will win
    Is that the betting for the largest party or for a majority?
    HIBERNIAN FC - ON THE RIGHT SIDE OF HISTORY SINCE 1875

  10. #7839
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hibernia&Alba View Post
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    Is that the betting for the largest party or for a majority?
    Most seats. Majority 6/4 lab 3/1 con

  11. #7840
    Coaching Staff hibsbollah's Avatar
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    Breaking News- “In the US, rapper 50 Cent has announced that in the UK he will be now known as One Pound…”

  12. #7841
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ozyhibby View Post
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    What he doesn’t seem to understand that the reason the pound “recovered “ to 1.08 is that the markets have now priced in UK interest rate will be 6% early next year. If this doesn’t happen, sterling is likely to plummet. If it does then it will be brutal for millions of people. In effect, interest rates are at over 4% now anyway on the markets, that’s why some mortgage providers pulled products last night

  13. #7842
    Coaching Staff hibsbollah's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Scorrie View Post
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    What he doesn’t seem to understand that the reason the pound “recovered “ to 1.08 is that the markets have now priced in UK interest rate will be 6% early next year. If this doesn’t happen, sterling is likely to plummet. If it does then it will be brutal for millions of people. In effect, interest rates are at over 4% now anyway on the markets, that’s why some mortgage providers pulled products last night
    I wouldn't so mind if the interest rates on savings accounts went up as fast. Never seems to happen. Its all about consume consume consume.

  14. #7843
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    Quote Originally Posted by hibsbollah View Post
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    I wouldn't so mind if the interest rates on savings accounts went up as fast. Never seems to happen. Its all about consume consume consume.
    That’s a very fair point. What I would say is that as money becomes more “expensive” for banks and other lenders to obtain from the market, they might then start to raise savings rates to attract deposits ( more of a return to how banks etc used to operate). Whether anyone has much money to put away is another question …

  15. #7844
    @hibs.net private member GlesgaeHibby's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by hibsbollah View Post
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    I wouldn't so mind if the interest rates on savings accounts went up as fast. Never seems to happen. Its all about consume consume consume.
    Agree savings rates should be increased too, but very few folk will be in a position to save with gas/elec bills having doubled, mortgage payments going through the roof and the cost of groceries up massively too.

    This whole situation is mental. Inflation isn't being driven by demand, but supply side issues. I can see interest rates need to rise to try and protect sterling, but the increased cost of borrowing will drive more folk into destitution and collapse of housing market.

  16. #7845
    Coaching Staff hibsbollah's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by GlesgaeHibby View Post
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    Agree savings rates should be increased too, but very few folk will be in a position to save with gas/elec bills having doubled, mortgage payments going through the roof and the cost of groceries up massively too.

    This whole situation is mental. Inflation isn't being driven by demand, but supply side issues. I can see interest rates need to rise to try and protect sterling, but the increased cost of borrowing will drive more folk into destitution and collapse of housing market.
    I’ve had saving accounts for the kids since they’ve been little, I just put an small amount in each month I barely notice. Even if you’re clever and change it to a short term ISA the best interest rate for me is i think 1.5%, hardly worth the effort in moving it around. I know there’s bigger problems out there but encouraging savings seems to be the forgotten job of Government I don’t have the stats but personal savings in most European countries dwarf ours. I suppose in this country we’re always encouraged to use savings to buy a house and become somebody else’s landlord instead …

  17. #7846
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    Quote Originally Posted by GlesgaeHibby View Post
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    Agree savings rates should be increased too, but very few folk will be in a position to save with gas/elec bills having doubled, mortgage payments going through the roof and the cost of groceries up massively too.

    This whole situation is mental. Inflation isn't being driven by demand, but supply side issues. I can see interest rates need to rise to try and protect sterling, but the increased cost of borrowing will drive more folk into destitution and collapse of housing market.
    There will be a sizeable chunk of the population who will have thousands more to save thanks to tax cuts for the richest, thankfully for the rest of us there's no way they're going to stick it in savings, it's all going straight back into the retail etc so we can all benefit from it.

    Yay Tories!

  18. #7847
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    Quote Originally Posted by hibsbollah View Post
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    I’ve had saving accounts for the kids since they’ve been little, I just put an small amount in each month I barely notice. Even if you’re clever and change it to a short term ISA the best interest rate for me is i think 1.5%, hardly worth the effort in moving it around. I know there’s bigger problems out there but encouraging savings seems to be the forgotten job of Government I don’t have the stats but personal savings in most European countries dwarf ours. I suppose in this country we’re always encouraged to use savings to buy a house and become somebody else’s landlord instead …
    Did you consider a junior stocks & shares ISA for the kids? A cash ISA at this moment in time is just eroding your money due to inflation. I have some junior ISAs for my kids and while you see the ups and downs over the long term (16 years basically) they are miles ahead in returns compared to cash ISAs.

    Although I should point out it comes with risk, but there are different levels of risk you can select.

    There are even ethical investment type ISAs.

    https://www.scottishfriendly.co.uk/i...ect-junior-isa
    Last edited by James310; 27-09-2022 at 09:32 AM.

  19. #7848
    Coaching Staff hibsbollah's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by James310 View Post
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    Did you consider a junior stocks & shares ISA for the kids? A cash ISA at this moment in time is just eroding your money due to inflation. I have some junior ISAs for my kids and while you see the ups and downs over the long term (16 years basically) they are miles ahead in returns compared to cash ISAs.

    Although I should point out it comes with risk, but there are different levels of risk you can select.

    There are even ethical investment type ISAs.

    https://www.scottishfriendly.co.uk/isas/junior-isa/my-ethical-select-junior-isa
    Thank you. I am pretty clueless about such matters.

  20. #7849
    @hibs.net private member Ozyhibby's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stairway 2 7 View Post
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    @saylor
    Over the past year currencies have collapsed against the dollar:

    CAD -8%, CNY -9%, AUD -11%, ZAR -17%, KRW -18%, EUR -18%, PLN -21%, GBP -22%, JPY -23%, TRY -52%



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  21. #7850
    Coaching Staff hibsbollah's Avatar
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    I’m very much enjoying the Daily Express front page ‘Germans Declare War On Our £’…yes, that’s a fair take on the current situation

  22. #7851
    @hibs.net private member Oscar T Grouch's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hibby Bairn View Post
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    Most of the noise is hyperbolic. Media frenzy now the Queen has been buried.

    The Euro is trading at around 82% of its value v the $ from 5 years ago. The £ around 80%.

    The story is really the strength of the dollar.
    It really isn't, these falls are unprecedented and combined with the cost of the UK government borrowing, which has seen two massive increases, one on Friday after the budget and one yesterday once the markets realised what the tory plan is, means there is no way to control the GBP drop apart from a rise in interest rates, they are saying a rise to 6% by the end of October!! The Bank of England is not meant to meet again until November, but there are calls for immediate emergency action i.e. meet earlier and raise interest rates to prevent the GBP from falling further.

    Rumours are that Truss already has letters of no confidence submitted and if the whispers of Westminster are correct the trickle will turn to a deluge when the GBP reaches parity with the USD (which will happen without the Bank of England stepping in). It is going to be an interesting week in politics and economics, everyone bar the tories are saying the tories strategy has no way of succeeding.
    Last edited by Oscar T Grouch; 27-09-2022 at 12:26 PM.


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  23. #7852
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    Quote Originally Posted by Oscar T Grouch View Post
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    It is going to be an interesting week in politics and economics, everyone bar the tories are saying the tories strategy has no way of succeeding.
    I think that not even all the Tories are saying it will succeed.

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/t...shes-9x8shgvpd

    Ministers have warned that the Conservative Party is facing a “world of pain”, stemming from fears that voters will punish them for Kwasi Kwarteng’s tax cuts for high earners.

    Liz Truss is facing a backlash from her own government after the value of the pound plummeted in the wake of Kwarteng’s £45 billion tax-cutting budget, announced on Friday.
    Last edited by grunt; 27-09-2022 at 11:13 AM.

  24. #7853
    Quote Originally Posted by James310 View Post
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    Did you consider a junior stocks & shares ISA for the kids? A cash ISA at this moment in time is just eroding your money due to inflation. I have some junior ISAs for my kids and while you see the ups and downs over the long term (16 years basically) they are miles ahead in returns compared to cash ISAs.

    Although I should point out it comes with risk, but there are different levels of risk you can select.

    There are even ethical investment type ISAs.

    https://www.scottishfriendly.co.uk/i...ect-junior-isa
    Do you work at Scottish friendly? I know a Jambo who does

  25. #7854
    @hibs.net private member Kato's Avatar
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    https://twitter.com/Ianblackford_MP/...wxsPVv_DA&s=19

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  26. #7855
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    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...uverify%20wall

    The UK’s stock and bond markets have lost at least $500 billion in combined value since Liz Truss took over as Prime Minister, with investor confidence shattered by a shock tax-cutting budget.

  27. #7856
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    Quote Originally Posted by Zambernardi1875 View Post
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    Do you work at Scottish friendly? I know a Jambo who does
    I don't, but have 2 Junior ISAs with them.

  28. #7857
    @hibs.net private member WhileTheChief..'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by hibsbollah View Post
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    Thank you. I am pretty clueless about such matters.
    Check out Lifetime ISAs

    You can save up to £3,000 pa with the govt topping it up to £4,000. They are cash only but a 25% uplift would be pretty hard to beat using investment funds without taking on way too much risk.

    Needs to be used for a house purchase when it comes to withdrawing the funds or the kids would lose the top up. Alternatively they need to leave it there until they retire!

  29. #7858
    @hibs.net private member WhileTheChief..'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hibby Bairn View Post
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    The story is really the strength of the dollar.
    Yup, and it will keep getting stronger. Whenever there is any form of global crisis, the dollar strengthens.

    It's up 17% year to date, the largest rise in a year since 1972.

  30. #7859
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    Quote Originally Posted by WhileTheChief.. View Post
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    Check out Lifetime ISAs

    You can save up to £3,000 pa with the govt topping it up to £4,000. They are cash only but a 25% uplift would be pretty hard to beat using investment funds without taking on way too much risk.

    Needs to be used for a house purchase when it comes to withdrawing the funds or the kids would lose the top up. Alternatively they need to leave it there until they retire!
    There are a few providers do a Stocks and Shares lifetime ISA.

    https://www.youinvest.co.uk/lifetime-isa

  31. #7860
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    Oh boy, horrible horrible time for people with mortgages that aren't fixed. Housing crisis unseen before coming up

    EdConwaySky
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    Money markets now pricing in a 1.5 per cent rise in interest rates at or before the next @Bankofengland meeting in Nov.
    Expectations back up well above 6% next year.
    All follows that speech from BoE’s Huw Pill hinting of big action to come

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