A Hearts fan has done a detailed breakdown of Hale
https://x.com/liamastewart/status/19...T_cnYbURW-GKJw
From the second Ross County's relegation was confirmed fans have of various Premiership clubs have started discussing Ronan Hale and if he is worth a pick up particularly with rumours of a relegation release clause.
Hearts fans are no different and with Shankland's future still currently a mystery let's take a look and see what the numbers say.
The headline number been thrown around is Hale's 12 league goals this season from an xG of 10.77 - which makes Hale on of just four players outside of Celtic & Rangers to reach the milestone for the season.
Three of Hale's goals came from the spot, leaving nine non penalty goals throughout the season.
A look at those goals further shows;
- Two tidy finishes from tight angles at the edge of the area against Motherwell & Hearts
- A powerful effort unmarked inside the box after getting on the end of a poor clearance against St Mirren.
- Two fantastic runs and finishes against Motherwell, left and right footed.
- A nice turn and finish against Motherwell following a poor piece of defending.
- An incredible finish against Hearts curling one in from the edge of the area and a similar goal against St Johnstone and a tap in against Dundee United.
That means when you breakdown Hale's non penalty goals for the season he scored against Motherwell (4), Hearts (2), St Mirren (1), St Johnstone (1) and Dundee United (1).
The immediate concern for Hearts would be stylistically how he fits McInnes' desired system - a manager that wants width and pace out wide and targets in the box, at 5'7 Hale is certainly not that.
There is of course a precedent for McInnes having some amount of success with smaller forwards, Anderson at Aberdeen and Kilmarnock, and Hale's off the ball movement and ability to attack the space in behind could link up well with Shankland if the striker re-signs.
Hale's numbers tell the story of County's season with the 26-year-old putting up a huge volume of shots and dribbles per 90 but with a below standard completion rate.
No Hearts' player took more shots than Hale (91) while his 37.35% SOT rate ranks lower than any of Hearts' CF options - to be expected with a shot volume almost four times that of Wilson, Vargas, Musa and Kabangu.
His 13% goal conversion rate sits above Musa & Shankland, while only Musa & Vargas, both of which had significant minutes out wide, produced more dribbles per 90 across the season with Vargas the closest comparison.
Hale matches Kabangu's 30% offensive duel win rate despite 25% more duel output per 90.
His 2.61 touches in the box per 90 is lower than any Hearts CF and aligns with the type of goal Hale scored most throughout the season around the edge of the area - but is also easily put down to the deep position and low possession game that County played with the lowest average time on ball in the league throughout the 24/25 season.
This trend continues when you look at Hale's creative and ball progression numbers - with the 26-year-old ranking lowest from Hearts CF options for passes per 90 and fourth for pass accuracy.
The closest comparison on the ball, in terms of output, is James Wilson with the two forwards on par for passes per 90, pass accuracy, passes to the final third whilst Wilson just leads in shot creating actions and xA per 90.
There's clear quality in Hale, but with Elton Kabangu and potentially Lawrence Shankland looking like they are sticking around and James Wilson having a breakout season it is hard to see where Hale would fit in - we have already seen that quality at County doesn't always translate to instant impact at Tynecastle - Yan Dhanda - and lacking tactical versatility from Hale makes it difficult to see how he would fit in for Hearts next year even at a cut price - Musa & Kenny could both leave which would make Hale one of four central options which would make the deal more likely but after a strong individual season is the County man going to accept a spot on the bench? Sam Dalby feels more of a natural fit but with Hearts missing out on Europe potentially a harder name to bring in particularly with interest in Scotland and down south.