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  1. #31
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hibrandenburg View Post
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    I think you underestimate the attraction of fascism. Between the wars Germany was in a similar place to the UK now.
    It wasn't. Uk is one of the most multicultural nations on earth unlike Germany then, UKs gdp is expected to grow 2% every one of the next 5 years, inflation is expected to be low the next 4 years, unemployment is tiny, immigration is at record levels, anti immigration sentiment has dropped in each of the last 10 years in the biggest poll and we are about to vote out the tories probably by a decent amount


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  3. #32
    Private Members Prediction League Winner Hibrandenburg's Avatar
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    Germany and especially Berlin was a magnet for foreigners between the wars. There was an air of decadence after the fall of the Kaiser and thinkers and artists flooded the country and not only despite the finacial woes but probably because of them the population decided to party rather than save. Germany was the place to party in the early 1920's. Germany would actually have thrived if it wasn't for the war reparations they were having to pay back. After a short while of optimism the inevitable slump came and the thinkers, artists and Jews were the easy victims to blame for the disastrous finacial circumstances of the war that Germany had only itself to blame.

    Let's see who the UK natives blames for the disaster that Brexit will bring in the coming years, my money is on foreigners, socialists and liberals. If you know your history then that's a pretty safe bet.

  4. #33
    Quote Originally Posted by Stairway 2 7 View Post
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    I don't think that's what the future holds I think it's the last hurrah for the bigots, who unfortunately all vote.

    Anti immigrant feelings are falling year on year and just aren't growing in the younger generation. Most kids in Britain have multiple faith's and nationalities in there classroom.

    More than that the under 40s are the first generation in over 100 years of sampling that aren't turning right wing as they age. Youth don't vote though so it'll take a few decades but the parties are going to have to go left eventually and focus on housing. Fingers crossed anyway. A great thread, these bigots are alien to younger people's thinking

    https://twitter.com/jburnmurdoch/status/1608746369505976323?lang=en
    I've said it before but the Conservatives have created, to date, 2 generations now with little to conserve.

    The reason many drifted right as they aged is that they wanted to preserve their own little dynasty for the next generation of their family. That just won't exist to anything like the same extent when today's 20, 30 and 40 year olds reach retirement age.

    Of course that's not to dismiss the danger of people being attracted to scapegoating and the lure of simple answers to complex problems. We have a whole industry paying big money to people to pump out right wing populism.
    PM Awards General Poster of The Year 2015, 2016, 2017. Probably robbed in other years

  5. #34
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hibrandenburg View Post
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    Germany and especially Berlin was a magnet for foreigners between the wars. There was an air of decadence after the fall of the Kaiser and thinkers and artists flooded the country and not only despite the finacial woes but probably because of them the population decided to party rather than save. Germany was the place to party in the early 1920's. Germany would actually have thrived if it wasn't for the war reparations they were having to pay back. After a short while of optimism the inevitable slump came and the thinkers, artists and Jews were the easy victims to blame for the disastrous finacial circumstances of the war that Germany had only itself to blame.

    Let's see who the UK natives blames for the disaster that Brexit will bring in the coming years, my money is on foreigners, socialists and liberals. If you know your history then that's a pretty safe bet.
    Germany had hyper inflation at 300% per month, the central estimate is inflation in the UK will sit at 2% from 24 to 27.

    Germanys unemployment rate pre nazis hit 30%, uks is 4% and stable

    Germanys economy shrunk a third of the size before the Nazis. UKs even with brexit is expected to grow by 2% each year

    Anti immigrant thoughts are shrinking year on year in the uk, the youth aren't turning right and the voters are going to vote out the most right wing choice. I'm an optimist change will come from the youth not turning right

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    Quote Originally Posted by Pretty Boy View Post
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    I've said it before but the Conservatives have created, to date, 2 generations now with little to conserve.

    The reason many drifted right as they aged is that they wanted to preserve their own little dynasty for the next generation of their family. That just won't exist to anything like the same extent when today's 20, 30 and 40 year olds reach retirement age.

    Of course that's not to dismiss the danger of people being attracted to scapegoating and the lure of simple answers to complex problems. We have a whole industry paying big money to people to pump out right wing populism.
    It baffles me why tories didn't put all their efforts into house building, although I understand it goes against their core voters being nimbys but it's so short sighted for them.

    They have ensured people don't have anything to conserve as you say or pass down, they are also spewing racism to a much more multicultural group. They are just playing to older groups which works just now as they are the ones who vote, let's see if the the young stay left as they age further

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    Someone needs to do analysis of the over 60s and how they vote in relation to the number of children and grandchildren they have. 🤔😉
    There is no such thing as too much yarn, just not enough time.

  8. #37
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    Quote Originally Posted by Moulin Yarns View Post
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    Someone needs to do analysis of the over 60s and how they vote in relation to the number of children and grandchildren they have. 🤔😉
    You might be the other bookend to boris who's got umpteen bairns he's acknowledged and is a right-wing nutter

  9. #38
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stairway 2 7 View Post
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    Germany had hyper inflation at 300% per month, the central estimate is inflation in the UK will sit at 2% from 24 to 27.

    Germanys unemployment rate pre nazis hit 30%, uks is 4% and stable

    Germanys economy shrunk a third of the size before the Nazis. UKs even with brexit is expected to grow by 2% each year

    Anti immigrant thoughts are shrinking year on year in the uk, the youth aren't turning right and the voters are going to vote out the most right wing choice. I'm an optimist change will come from the youth not turning right

    Your faith in Britain's post Brexit economy is optimistic. The economy has already shrunk 5%. Germany's hyperinflation lasted 3 years and started to recover around 1924/25.

    The timelines don't have to be identical, but once fascism has has become socially acceptable (it has in the UK), then it is impossible to be put back in its box until it's too late.

    I hope you're right, but I fear you're wrong.

  10. #39
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hibrandenburg View Post
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    Your faith in Britain's post Brexit economy is optimistic. The economy has already shrunk 5%. Germany's hyperinflation lasted 3 years and started to recover around 1924/25.

    The timelines don't have to be identical, but once fascism has has become socially acceptable (it has in the UK), then it is impossible to be put back in its box until it's too late.

    I hope you're right, but I fear you're wrong.
    It's not my faith its every estimate including the imf

    The economy is now 1.8% larger than before the pandemic its not 5% smaller? Gdp grew 4% in 2022 and IMF expect it to grow although slowly every year for the next 5

    https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-economy-grows-02-q2-2023-2023-09-29/#:~:text=Britain's%20economy%20in%20the%20three,ON S%20estimate%2C%20made%20on%20Aug.
    "Britain's economic performance since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic has been much stronger than previously thought, with faster growth than Germany or France, according to revisions to official data released on Friday.

    Britain's economy in the three months to the end of June 2023 was 1.8% larger than in the final quarter of 2019, the last full quarter before the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Office for National Statistics said"

    My optimism is based on uk public on average be less anti immigrant in every poll as the years go on, uk becoming more multicultural and were about to hammer the bigots at the ballot box. My only pessimism is independence is as far away as I can remember but demographics will win that too eventually. The kids are alright

  11. #40
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    How has his column at the Daily Heil gone?
    Space to let

  12. #41
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jack View Post
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    How has his column at the Daily Heil gone?
    He just basically spend it taking the p out of everything Rishi does apparently. Think he's going for a trump rebirth and swing at PM, although preferable would be them both ending up in jail

  13. #42
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stairway 2 7 View Post
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    It's not my faith its every estimate including the imf

    The economy is now 1.8% larger than before the pandemic its not 5% smaller? Gdp grew 4% in 2022 and IMF expect it to grow although slowly every year for the next 5

    https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-economy-grows-02-q2-2023-2023-09-29/#:~:text=Britain's%20economy%20in%20the%20three,ON S%20estimate%2C%20made%20on%20Aug.
    "Britain's economic performance since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic has been much stronger than previously thought, with faster growth than Germany or France, according to revisions to official data released on Friday.

    Britain's economy in the three months to the end of June 2023 was 1.8% larger than in the final quarter of 2019, the last full quarter before the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Office for National Statistics said"

    My optimism is based on uk public on average be less anti immigrant in every poll as the years go on, uk becoming more multicultural and were about to hammer the bigots at the ballot box. My only pessimism is independence is as far away as I can remember but demographics will win that too eventually. The kids are alright
    The UK is dependent on foreign investment just like the German one that was slowly recovering from the hyperinflation of the Weimar Republic. It's true that the German economy was struggling as the Naziz came to power but that was due to it’s dependence on foreign investment that collapsed after the crash in 1929 and not because of the hyperinflation of the Weimar Republic which was brought under control almost a decade before the Nazis came to power.

    The UK economy, like the German economy in the late 29's and early 30's relies on foreign investment because we are dependent on our service industry rather than anything we produce. If other countries start tightening the purse strings then we will feel it most, the whole economy is a house of cards and due to Brexit that house is slowly crumbling.

  14. #43
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hibrandenburg View Post
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    The UK is dependent on foreign investment just like the German one that was slowly recovering from the hyperinflation of the Weimar Republic. It's true that the German economy was struggling as the Naziz came to power but that was due to it’s dependence on foreign investment that collapsed after the crash in 1929 and not because of the hyperinflation of the Weimar Republic which was brought under control almost a decade before the Nazis came to power.

    The UK economy, like the German economy in the late 29's and early 30's relies on foreign investment because we are dependent on our service industry rather than anything we produce. If other countries start tightening the purse strings then we will feel it most, the whole economy is a house of cards and due to Brexit that house is slowly crumbling.
    Mate the UK economy is just nothing like pre war Germany in almost every way. We can both say what we think is going to happen but people who do this as a living with better models than ours are expecting growth each year.

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    https://kpmg.com/uk/en/home/insights...the%20downside.


    Just one take on our future. Click the top link
    There is no such thing as too much yarn, just not enough time.

  16. #45
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    Quote Originally Posted by Moulin Yarns View Post
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    https://kpmg.com/uk/en/home/insights...the%20downside.


    Just one take on our future. Click the top link
    Yeah their future estimate is less 1% growth per year. Although they haven't used our revised up figures for the last 3 years. Also they estimate 0.4% growth in 23 it's been 0.6% in the first 6 months and is expected to grow the other 2 so pessimistic

    Uk economy is by no means in great shape as the growth will be low 1-2%

  17. #46
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stairway 2 7 View Post
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    Yeah their future estimate is less 1% growth per year. Although they haven't used our revised up figures for the last 3 years. Also they estimate 0.4% growth in 23 it's been 0.6% in the first 6 months and is expected to grow the other 2 so pessimistic

    Uk economy is by no means in great shape as the growth will be low 1-2%
    "our revised up figures"

    Who are you referring to??

    KPMG has to be listened to on the economy. These are as up to date as you can get.
    There is no such thing as too much yarn, just not enough time.

  18. #47
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    Quote Originally Posted by Moulin Yarns View Post
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    "our revised up figures"

    Who are you referring to??

    KPMG has to be listened to on the economy. These are as up to date as you can get.
    Our as in uk. The KPMG report you shared hasn't got the revised figures worked in yet it's 0.2 out in 22 and probably the same in 2023

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/uk-economy-gdp-growth-jeremy-hunt-b2403325.html
    "Britain no longer an economic outlier after ‘extraordinary’ GDP upgrade by ONS
    The changes, which added almost 2 per cent to the size of Britain’s economy, mean the UK no longer has the worst growth record among G7 countries since 2019.
    They also show Britain’s economy is likely outperforming Germany, Europe’s biggest economy"



    KPMG make estimates and they have estimated 1% growth per year in the future so im not sure what it is your saying. Although their 2023 estimate is going to be off

  19. #48
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stairway 2 7 View Post
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    Our as in uk. The KPMG report you shared hasn't got the revised figures worked in yet it's 0.2 out in 22 and probably the same in 2023

    https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/uk-economy-gdp-growth-jeremy-hunt-b2403325.html
    "Britain no longer an economic outlier after ‘extraordinary’ GDP upgrade by ONS
    The changes, which added almost 2 per cent to the size of Britain’s economy, mean the UK no longer has the worst growth record among G7 countries since 2019.
    They also show Britain’s economy is likely outperforming Germany, Europe’s biggest economy"



    KPMG make estimates and they have estimated 1% growth per year in the future so im not sure what it is your saying. Although their 2023 estimate is going to be off
    Are you an economist?
    There is no such thing as too much yarn, just not enough time.

  20. #49
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    Quote Originally Posted by Moulin Yarns View Post
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    Are you an economist?
    No just can read basic figures which is all you need to see they estimate growth every year and they have last years growth as 4.1% still and not the revised 4.3.

    I'm not sure what the point is your trying to make though tbf sorry

  21. #50
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stairway 2 7 View Post
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    Mate the UK economy is just nothing like pre war Germany in almost every way. We can both say what we think is going to happen but people who do this as a living with better models than ours are expecting growth each year.
    Mate, the UK economy is dependent on foreign investment and loans, Germany was the same in 1929 and when the plug got pulled they went down the drain. The UK is the same right now, even if all the experts expect growth.

  22. #51
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hibrandenburg View Post
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    Mate, the UK economy is dependent on foreign investment and loans, Germany was the same in 1929 and when the plug got pulled they went down the drain. The UK is the same right now, even if all the experts expect growth.
    So ignore growth one is in constant growth now above the pandemic blip, the other shrunk to a third of the size. Ignore unemployment one had tiny the other massive. Ignore hyper inflation of thousands of % us peaking at 10 and estimated to sit around 2% soon. The service industry is growing this year and next and is expected to the next 3.

    We're also about to vote out our most right wing choice.

    I'd say Germany now is more like Germany then than us, although it's obviously still nothing like it also. In recession and going to vote out a left wing government

  23. #52
    Private Members Prediction League Winner Hibrandenburg's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stairway 2 7 View Post
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    So ignore growth one is in constant growth now above the pandemic blip, the other shrunk to a third of the size. Ignore unemployment one had tiny the other massive. Ignore hyper inflation of thousands of % us peaking at 10 and estimated to sit around 2% soon. The service industry is growing this year and next and is expected to the next 3.

    We're also about to vote out our most right wing choice.

    I'd say Germany now is more like Germany then than us, although it's obviously still nothing like it also. In recession and going to vote out a left wing government
    I'm not ignoring growth, it's you who is ignoring what that growth is built on. I'm simply drawing parallels to a time where Germany thought it was on the mend, the war was over, the economy was growing, the youth were devouring philosophy, the arts and foreign literature. Berlin was buzzing, the clubs and theatres were packed with revellers and the youth were carefree and decadent and then boom, the depression of 1929 hit and Germany suffered most because its economy was built on foreign investment which got pulled overnight. The Nationalists from 1914 weren't gone, they'd been put in their box after the war but the recession of 1929 saw them crawl back out from their hibernation and gainsupport. Their support came from the middle who were looking for scapegoats and the Nazis exploited that and blamed the Jews and socialists/communists. If you think the extreme right will just dissolve then you're badly mistaken. Their next metamorphosis will be even more odious than what we've seen the last few years, it's how fascism works, it's a cancer that is just waiting on an opportunity to reappear but with a vengeance.

  24. #53
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hibrandenburg View Post
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    I'm not ignoring growth, it's you who is ignoring what that growth is built on. I'm simply drawing parallels to a time where Germany thought it was on the mend, the war was over, the economy was growing, the youth were devouring philosophy, the arts and foreign literature. Berlin was buzzing, the clubs and theatres were packed with revellers and the youth were carefree and decadent and then boom, the depression of 1929 hit and Germany suffered most because its economy was built on foreign investment which got pulled overnight. The Nationalists from 1914 weren't gone, they'd been put in their box after the war but the recession of 1929 saw them crawl back out from their hibernation and gainsupport. Their support came from the middle who were looking for scapegoats and the Nazis exploited that and blamed the Jews and socialists/communists. If you think the extreme right will just dissolve then you're badly mistaken. Their next metamorphosis will be even more odious than what we've seen the last few years, it's how fascism works, it's a cancer that is just waiting on an opportunity to reappear but with a vengeance.
    That is all your opinion but not based on facts imo. Uk comes near the top for the most pro immigrant opinions in the world. Also the youth aren't turning right, uk is going to become more and more left wing each year as the older generatios die out. Britain is becoming more diverse each year and the under 40s are staying left for the first time in a hundred years. There has never been a time like this


    https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/jun/17/uk-is-among-countries-with-the-most-positive-attitude-towards-refugees-poll-finds
    UK is among countries with the most positive attitude towards refugees, poll finds
    https://www.ft.com/content/b743e1fa-f6c1-4d41-a845-e25c8d5fbd91

  25. #54
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    OFCOM decision on GBNews Laurence Fox / Dan Wootton broadcast where Fox commented about journalist Ava Evans.

    GB News show broke broadcasting rules which protect viewers from offensive content.

    Here's some of what he said:

    "We're past the watershed so I can say this… show me a single, self-respecting man that would like to climb into bed with that woman… ever… ever"
    "Who'd want to **** that?"
    What's their punishment?


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    Quote Originally Posted by grunt View Post
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    OFCOM decision on GBNews Laurence Fox / Dan Wootton broadcast where Fox commented about journalist Ava Evans.

    GB News show broke broadcasting rules which protect viewers from offensive content.

    Here's some of what he said:





    What's their punishment?

    Lose the license hopefully

  27. #56
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    Quote Originally Posted by MKHIBEE View Post
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    Lose the license hopefully
    Two chances: fat chance and no chance.

  28. #57
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    Quote Originally Posted by grunt View Post
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    Two chances: fat chance and no chance.
    I know. Unfortunately.

  29. #58
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    Well who could have guessed?

    https://hopenothate.org.uk/2024/03/2...od-eventually/

    From a private Telegram account, using the pseudonym “Neo Glaive”, GB News’ Leo Kearse has been sharing deeply racist and misogynist comments.

    On Friday he celebrated a terror attack in Russia. He has previously called Russians “pathetic slugs” and “orc peasants”.
    Kearse is also harsh on his native Scotland, telling members of Michael Brook’s’ Telegram channel that “you would not believe what a **** hole Scotland is” and another chat that Scotland is “full of fat feminine socialist gimps”

  30. #59
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    ex-GB news presenter Martin Branning/Dan Wootton trending on Twitter over the weekend, with his list of 50 people he dislikes "Dan Wootton" - Search / X (twitter.com) what a deeply unsavoury deadbeat he is.

  31. #60
    resident moaning git DaveF's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by grunt View Post
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    I've never heard of this guy but his internet activity shows him as some immature 12 year old. I forsee another GB news review ahead...

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