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Thread: tories
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06-02-2010 05:17 PM #61
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06-02-2010 05:21 PM #62
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Harriet Harman likes to remind us that recently, it has in fact been narrowing, but that is because the poor are staying poor and the rich are getting poorer.
Basically, cut it any way you like, the difference between Tories and Labour as far as the rich/poor thing goes is miniscule.
I suppose one difference is that many Tory MPs are already rich, while the Labour ones have become so in the past few years at our expense.
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06-02-2010 05:44 PM #63This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
If the priority is to have less poor people then that's the priority, isn't it?
You can measure by agreeing and establishing an indicative level of poverty and trying to lift people above it.
If, as a consequence of your actions, the richest continue to be rich and in fact possibly become even richer, is that not secondary to the fact that less people are in poverty? The income gap can grow to any level, the important factor is where the people at the bottom find themselves, regardless of how much more the highest-earners earn than them, surely?
If you're wanting to see the income gap reduced then I'm not sure if any party, even the Socialists, can help you out. We're inextricably part of a capitalist economy. We have to work within that unless we're radically restructuring society. Which nobody seems to have an appetite for and which nobody is proposing as an electorally-advantageous stance.There's only one thing better than a Hibs calendar and that's two Hibs calendars
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07-02-2010 02:09 AM #64This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Found this here....I think this is saying everything is relative and don't believe a politician who uses such stats as a sound bite!!!
"It is generally accepted that poverty is concerned with a lack of possessions, or ability to do things, which are in some sense considered 'normal' or 'essential' in society.
What is considered 'normal' depends on the society in which the person lives. So, for example, a widely accepted indicator of third world poverty is the numbers of people living on less than $1 per day, on the grounds that people on such incomes are literally in danger of starving to death. This threshold is often termed 'absolute income poverty'. But the use of such a threshold in the United Kingdom would obviously be completely inappropriate - no one in the United Kingdom lives on incomes anywhere near this low and its use would imply that all people with incomes above $1 per day did not suffer from serious deprivation.
What is considered 'normal' also changes over time. Levels of income that would have been considered adequate in the United Kingdom 100 years' ago would certainly not be considered to be adequate nowadays. Rather, as society becomes richer, so norms change and the levels of income and resources that are considered to be adequate rises. Unless the poorest can keep up with growth in average incomes, they will progressively become more excluded from the opportunities that the rest of society enjoys.
The conclusion is that the main indicators of low income in the United Kingdom – and thus of income poverty - should be defined in terms of thresholds which rise or fall as average incomes rise or fall. Such thresholds are often termed 'moving thresholds' or indicators of 'relative poverty'. This conclusion is generally accepted by most researchers, by the EU and by the UK government.
In normal times, when average incomes are improving slowly but steadily, the use of such thresholds is probably a good indicator of changes in the extent of relative income poverty. But if incomes should fall, they become insufficient: a fall in average incomes, even if the lowest incomes remained unchanged, would clearly not represent an improvement in the capacity of the poorest to attain what society had become accustomed to as the norm.
Furthermore, sole reliance on moving thresholds can become misleading if average incomes rise dramatically. For example, incomes in Ireland have risen sharply over the last ten years or so – including incomes at the bottom end - whilst income inequalities have remained roughly constant. Many researchers and politicians in Ireland believe that sole reliance on moving thresholds gives a misleading impression by suggesting that no progress has been made in reducing the extent of poverty."
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07-02-2010 10:32 AM #65This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
That way I can be incredibly smug if it happens and hopefully no-one will notice if it doesn't.
On the Labour vs. Tory argument; I think Chomsky's observation that the Democrats and Republicans essentially operate as two factions of the same party increasingly applies to our own system.
I do get slightly confused by the literal consensus on the danger of public debt and the need for drastic public spending cuts; given that our debt as a % of GDP is quite astonishingly low both in historical terms and in terms of other nations. The only answer to it that makes any sense is that the (perfectly manageable) deficit is being used - again, with cross party consensus - to remove the barriers to neo-liberalism that still exist within the British economy and society.
The coverage of the postal workers and B.A. strikes are prescient little foreshadowings of the response to any groups who resist this consensus.
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07-02-2010 12:35 PM #66This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Well?
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07-02-2010 12:44 PM #67
"Mr Gross's warning is doubly embarrassing for Labour because Pimco's European investment team is headed by Andrew Balls, brother of Mr Brown's closest ally the Schools Secretary Ed Balls"
Wouldn't mind being a fly-on-the-wall at the Balls' Christmas dinner....
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07-02-2010 12:47 PM #68This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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07-02-2010 01:42 PM #69This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
He talks of 'time-tested historical reliables' but doesn't provide one single example. Every example I can think of proves completely the opposite; during the nineteenth century Britain's debt as % of GDP regularly pushed 200% yet it was a period of unparalleled economic growth. Cameron sets the implosion level at 80% yet there are only two fourty-year periods in British economic history since 1750 when it has been below that.
The 'bankrupt Britain' rhetoric is complete nonsense and Darling and Osbourne could both do with reacquainting themselves with the 'paradox of thrift'. That is, of course, assuming they don't get it, which they almost certainly do.
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07-02-2010 01:48 PM #70
What investment bankers think is more important than what economists think because they are the ones lending the money.
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07-02-2010 06:23 PM #71This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8503090.stm
As for making hay of the fact the he doesn't cite his evidence:
"Two excellent studies provide assistance in that regard – the first, a study of eight centuries of financial crisis by Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff titled This Time is Different, and the second, a study by the McKinsey Global Institute speaking to “Debt and deleveraging: The global credit bubble and its economic consequences.”
The Reinhart/Rogoff book speaks primarily to public debt that balloons in response to financial crises. It is a voluminous, somewhat academic production but it has numerous critical conclusions gleaned from an analysis of centuries of creditor/sovereign debt cycles. It states:
- The true legacy of banking crises is greater public indebtedness, far beyond the direct headline costs of bailout packages. On average a country’s outstanding debt nearly doubles within three years following the crisis.
- The aftermath of banking crises is associated with an average increase of seven percentage points in the unemployment rate, which remains elevated for five years.
- Once a country’s public debt exceeds 90% of GDP, its economic growth rate slows by 1%."
He talks of 'time-tested historical reliables' but doesn't provide one single example. Every example I can think of proves completely the opposite; during the nineteenth century Britain's debt as % of GDP regularly pushed 200% yet it was a period of unparalleled economic growth. Cameron sets the implosion level at 80% yet there are only two fourty-year periods in British economic history since 1750 when it has been below that.
2 World Wars and before that had ongoing military conflicts throughout the Empire. On the up-side we had the economic advantage of the Industrial Revolution, low-cost labour (slaves), access to large overseas markets and domination of shipping routes.
What advantages do we have over China, US, EU now? Do you think we will see this level of manufacturing, relative to our competitors over the next few decades?
The 'bankrupt Britain' rhetoric is complete nonsense and Darling and Osbourne could both do with reacquainting themselves with the 'paradox of thrift'. That is, of course, assuming they don't get it, which they almost certainly do.
And, even if we were to assume that high national debt wasn't necessarily a bad thing *choke*, in this instance it will lead to tax rises, which will provide less money for people to spend in the economy.
Personally, I'd rather my taxes were spent on paying back the balance of debt, rather than on interest payments.
Unless of course you think that interest rates are going to remain low for the next few decades, but I doubt anyone believes that
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07-02-2010 08:29 PM #72
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Anyhow, this election: I'd say the Tories will win with a majority of between 40 and 50.
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07-02-2010 11:31 PM #73
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If the Tories get in then we will see the real pain of the economic problems. This is the party that sold of all our assets during their rush to privatise everything. They were the only party to advocate not borrowing more to try and buy our way out this mess.
Labour have not lived up to expectations but have still delivered for many on a whole range of issues. Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland all got devolution, minimum wage to name two.
My recollection of a Tory government was 3 million unemployed, shutting of the mines and the steelworks and the poll tax. As a party they have always had a hidden agenda against Scotland.
As such I will be voting Labour
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08-02-2010 08:33 AM #74This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/n...apitalism.html
http://www.aolnews.com/opinion/artic...onomy/19324819
When choosing where to cut spending, a weapons system that a)doesnt work and b) is designed to destroy Moscow, might be a better place to start.
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08-02-2010 09:44 AM #75This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
I'm still not seeing his evidence.
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And we're into the fundamental contradictions of capitalism territory.
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08-02-2010 12:05 PM #76
LH and Hibsbollah, correct me if I am wrong but are you both saying that substantial cuts in government spending is not really needed and that the structural defecit is not something that should unduly worry us??
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08-02-2010 02:05 PM #77This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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08-02-2010 03:01 PM #78This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Does make you wonder though why the tories have then promised to continue increasing NHS budgets and have been busy playing down the severity of cuts on welfare expenditure etc.....these areas make up such a huge portion of government expenditure that ignoring these means only one thing can possibly be used to cut the deficit....a substantial and prolonged increase in taxes. Ah I think I just answered my own question there!
IMHO no party is any where near being honest enough in stating that EVERY are of goverment spending should be under review and that there is simply no more blank cheques for everything from aircraft cariers, tax credits, health service etc etc. Seem like they are all hoping for another boom to bail them out of the hole Gordon has dug and not facing up to the reality of anemic economic growth and the need to shrink the state back to a sustainable level (while of course maintaining true investment in areas that will provide future growth)
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08-02-2010 03:12 PM #79This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Which is bollocks, of course. I have (just) enough experience to know this.
So, public sector middle and senior management know that a large saving can be made in spending. It's up to the politicians to give the public sector the freedom to do it.
If this turns out not to be a big enough saving, then job cuts must come. Just because Labour has spent the last x number of years adding thousands of useless occupations the the state payroll, when they should have been paying off debt or investing in major infrastructure projects, doesn't mean that those jobs shouldn't be cut now.
However, unless efficency begins at the centre of the state and works it's way out, we will end up with a super-priviledged elite at the top-end of the state, and reduction in key services at the bottom end. Which would make us even more like Greece than we currently are.
Which shower of *******s have made these kind of noises most recently?
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08-02-2010 03:18 PM #80This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
I think most people know that big cuts are already in the post. Labour have whimpered at the thought of it so far, but should they win the election (indeed, whoever wins the election) they will be forced (IMF, Bond markets) to slash spending anyway.
Knowing this, it makes no sense to campaign on cuts if your oppostition are gaining ground by pretending that they would make the pain less severe.
Anyone who believes that is even more deluded than out Yam friends.
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08-02-2010 03:37 PM #81This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
If our current economic woes were caused by high Govt spending, as per the Swedish model, excessive cuts in spending to correct it might make some sense. But it wasnt, it was caused by bailing out the banking system.
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08-02-2010 04:30 PM #82This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
“You will work with our tenant and leaseholder members to develop and deliver our Community Empowerment Strategy, ensuring tenants are involved in strategic decision making. Additionally, you and your team will be key players in devising and promoting community empowerment opportunities at a local level.”
2) Staffordshire County CouncilFamily Group Conference Convener (£27,594 - £30,598 Pro rata, per annum (subject to job evaluation)
3) Youth Support Project Manager in London paying £18-21 per hour (£34,000-40,300 per year*)
a leading central London borough is looking for a Youth Support Project Manager to join their expanding team. The purpose of the role is:
To work with the Head of Service and Service Managers to develop a fully integrated service structure that links Connexions, Youth and the Youth Offending work
To support the Youth Offending and Youth & Connexions Service to design effective strategic and operational structures
Develop good models of involving young people in the decision-making processes in terms of the new service structure.
Co-ordinate and organise events/seminars/workshops to promote the new structure to interested parties.
4)The ODA and its Delivery Partner wish to recruit two Employment & Skills Managers – Women’s Project to:
• Proactively promote construction related employment opportunities for women
• Assist in removing the barriers facing women wishing to enter the construction industry
• Broker on-site construction related work placements and direct employment for women
• Offer additional support to women on-site to ensure retention and career development
Understanding gender specific schemes will be new to many contractors and to the construction industry as a whole. The successful candidate will have a proven track record of supporting women/under-represented groups in gaining employment within the industry and also facilitating relevant training and development opportunities. In addition, they will have experience in educating and assisting companies to place women/under-represented groups into construction jobs.”
5)http://jobs.guardian.co.uk/job/96514...ices-officers/
6)http://jobs.guardian.co.uk/job/96403...ement-officer/
7) “Sustainability Manager
£40,964 - £42,686 pa - Full-time, 37 hours per week- flexi-scheme
We are seeking a knowledgeable, experienced and enthusiastic sustainability manager to maintain the profile of work in this area. Joining an authority with a history of innovative approaches to sustainability and successful cross-service working, this post offers an excellent opportunity for you to lead our dedicated sustainability team to deliver significant carbon reductions and other environmental improvements across the organisation and beyond, responding to high profile issues such as climate change and linking to corporate priorities as stated in our Local Area Agreement.
Just 7 of the 1.7million extra jobs added to the public payroll since 1997!
Every government makes noises about 'efficiency cuts' before every election (as if Government actually has some mythical 'red tape' that can be snipped at every opportunity, and every government fails to achieve it. Most Government spending happens because the implication of not spending in certain areas mean economic pain elsewhere (for example; stop investing in education and apprenticeships=lower trained workforce=lower pay=lower taxes=lower income to the Treasury).
‘Company cashflow is being squeezed and unemployment is growing as a result. The Government needs to get serious about reducing the massive burden of regulation on business.
‘Cutting unnecessary burdens and announcing a moratorium on regulations set to come in this year, is one way of providing
instant and inexpensive help.’ The so-called ‘burdens barometer’, compiled by the Manchester and London Business Schools, uses the Government’s own assessments of the cost of meeting workplace regulations.
It found that the cumulative bill for rules introduced since Labour came to power in 1997 was £76.8billion. The BCC believes the figure underestiwhichmates the true toll because it counts only the 104 most expensive of 1,900 new regulations. The figure also failed to cost in the minimum wage.
Rules originating within the UK cost £23.4billion but – in a sign of the growing power of Brussels – red tape drafted by the EU cost £53.3billion.
The most expensive measure was the working-time directive,
lays down a maximum 48-hour week. This has cost firms an estimated £17.8billion. Steps to reduce carbon emissions from company vehicles have added £10.4billion while the Data Protection Act has cost £8billion.
The 19 newest regulations – including forcing power firms to cut carbon emissions from homes – have landed businesses with a £1.75billion bill.
Eighteen regulations brought in since 1998 have saved businesses £1.4billion. These include making workplaces smoke free.
John Thurso, Liberal Democrat business spokesman, said: ‘Red tape remains an overwhelming cost, especially for many small- and medium-sized businesses.
‘Ministers have completely failed to reduce the burden.’
But business minister Lord Carter said: ‘This gives a onesided view of how regulation impacts on businesses and does nothing to encourage a sensible debate on the issue.
‘It completely ignores the substantial benefits of regulation which deliver essential protections and give real boosts to business, improving standards and increasing competition.’
If our current economic woes were caused by high Govt spending, as per the Swedish model, excessive cuts in spending to correct it might make some sense. But it wasnt, it was caused by bailing out the banking system.
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08-02-2010 04:37 PM #83This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Fact is that even before the banking crisis the governemt was spending money it didn't have at quite a rate....prudence would have been cutting spending and building a reserve years ago but Gordon did the opposite and even now there seems to be plenty resistance to the idea that government is too big and is spending too much in too many areas for too little return, even from David and George!!
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08-02-2010 04:46 PM #84
Bit late to come into the discussion but...
I've got my vote for the first time this year and, despite doing A-Level politics, I don't think I'll get off my arse and vote.
Studying both parties has just made me cynical, and I'm still young! Both parties at the moment are a waste of, increasing dispensable, space. Don't trust Labour with Brown at the forefront (although FWIW he's an excellent speaker) and I most certainly don't trust the smug Cameron, never grew out of the posh little Eton schoolboy he is and still acts like in the Commons.
Might have to stand as an independent
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08-02-2010 04:53 PM #85This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
There are PLENTY jobs available and Edinburgh is always looking for bar staff for the younger ones (who happen to be most futile) that can't be arsed. And it's the young ones that really piss me off. A lot of people will have been made redundant recently but the majority of them will be actively seeking jobs, rather than actively seeking alcohol and drugs like the jakies that refuse to even look for a job.
I don't believe anyone who says they can't find a job unless they have a specific skill that is losing demand. For the unskilled there is always work. There's a massive world out there.
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08-02-2010 05:02 PM #86This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Some of those jobs involve working with young offenders, and increasing women entrants into the construction industry, both of which have economic benefits that would potentially outweigh any cost savings associated with deleting their posts, as does 'environmental sustainablility' work.
I read your second paragraph, but I stand by my point that all political parties always say they can find 'pain-free' cost savings that previous administrations didnt notice, but theyve never been able to achieve it to any degree that would make a difference to a big deficit, certainly not one as elephantine as ours is.
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08-02-2010 05:14 PM #87This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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08-02-2010 05:27 PM #88This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
You've not been lazily stereotyping have you?There's only one thing better than a Hibs calendar and that's two Hibs calendars
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08-02-2010 05:30 PM #89This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
I agree about employment opportunities in Edinburgh. You just have to work in Fife for a while, to realise what it's like to be in a community where people are struggling to get a job.
Can't agree with your comments about jakies and junkies though. Who would employ someone with a drink or drug problem?
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08-02-2010 05:32 PM #90This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
But I do think that employment is easy in Edinburgh compared to other places, and even if someone can't drive the bus and train services in and around Edinburgh are first class.
I had a figure about disability benefits last week and I'll try find it.
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