He's certainly gave them a boot up the arse at HT 🤣This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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13-11-2021 03:23 PM #7051
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13-11-2021 03:58 PM #7054
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13-11-2021 04:10 PM #7055This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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13-11-2021 05:46 PM #7056
If Latvia can hold out for a draw here that'd be great for us. Almost puts Norway out of contention for a seeded place.
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13-11-2021 05:56 PM #7057This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Turkey just need to match Norway's result to finish ahead of them.
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13-11-2021 06:29 PM #7058This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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13-11-2021 07:17 PM #7060
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13-11-2021 07:31 PM #7061This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
If we draw with Denmark then we'll possibly still finish above Turkey as we're currently on +5 and Turkey's on +1 so if we draw then Turkey would need to beat Montenegro 4-0 to overtake us on goals scored.
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13-11-2021 07:43 PM #7062
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13-11-2021 08:30 PM #7064This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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13-11-2021 08:41 PM #7065This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Do you think your security can keep you in purity, you will not shake us off above or below. Scottish friction, Scottish fiction
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13-11-2021 08:55 PM #7067This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Seeded
Serbia - 17 (GD+8) Away to Portugal in final match
Switzerland - 15 (GD+9) Home to Bulgaria in final match
Sweden - 15 (GD+7) Away to Spain in final match
Croatia - 14 (GD+12) Home to Russia in final match
Poland - 14 (GD+9) Home to Hungary in final match
Wales - 14 (GD+5) Home to Belgium in final match
Unseeded
Scotland - 14 (GD+5) Home to Denmark in final match
Turkey - 12 (GD+1) Away to Montenegro in final match
Finland - 11 (GD+2) Home to France in final match
North Macedonia - 9 (GD+1) Home to Iceland in final match
Austria - NL
Czech Republic - NLLast edited by Sir David Gray; 13-11-2021 at 08:59 PM.
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13-11-2021 09:53 PM #7068This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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13-11-2021 10:08 PM #7069This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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13-11-2021 10:11 PM #7070This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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13-11-2021 10:18 PM #7071This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Or even win the group with the runner up being at least 15 points.
Beaten to it!
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13-11-2021 10:31 PM #7073
So permutations (I think!) for Scotland to get seeded in the play off draw;
Win - Guaranteed to be seeded.
Draw - In Group E - We would need Belgium to beat Wales or if it's a draw between Belgium and Wales our draw needs to be higher scoring than theirs by two goals - i.e. 2-2 v 0-0.
We would also need help in Group G - We need no more than one of Netherlands, Turkey and Norway to reach 21 points and if two of them do get 21 points, we would need those teams to have a goal difference of less than +5.
Netherlands are out of reach in terms of goal difference, Turkey are currently on +1 and Norway are on +2. Our best bet would be Netherlands beating Norway and Turkey beating Montenegro by less than 4-0.
Loss - In Group E - We would need Belgium to beat Wales than a bigger scoreline than we lose to Denmark AND Czech Republic to draw or lose to Estonia.
Also in Group G - Norway fail to beat Netherlands AND Turkey fail to beat Montenegro.
All very complicated, if anyone spots a mistake feel free to correct me.
If I'm right with my permutations then I'd say our chances of being seeded with a draw are about 80% and a loss at less than 5%.Last edited by Sir David Gray; 13-11-2021 at 10:37 PM.
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14-11-2021 06:50 AM #7074
I agree we need something from Denmark game to be seeded, however not the end of the world if we are unseeded.
We can go for it on Monday in the knowledge we have another game coming up
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14-11-2021 07:43 AM #7075This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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14-11-2021 07:57 AM #7076This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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14-11-2021 08:03 AM #7077This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Your point about knowing what they need to do is absolutely valid though. Big advantage though other side is could put them under pressure if don't score early.Last edited by JimBHibees; 14-11-2021 at 08:05 AM.
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14-11-2021 08:09 AM #7078This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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14-11-2021 08:10 AM #7079This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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14-11-2021 08:32 AM #7080This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Last edited by hibsbollah; 14-11-2021 at 08:34 AM.
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