I had a little look at the points per game needed to finish 3rd in the Premiership since 2010:
2010/11 - 1.65
2011/12 - 1.63
2012-13 - 1.47
2013-14 - 1.78
2014-15 - 1.71
2015-16 - 1.71
2016-17 - 1.76
2017-18 - 1.84
2018-19 - 1.76
2019-20 - 1.53*
So the 10 year average is 1.68 points per match, I'm pretty sure that will be enough to secure 3rd, the equivalent of 21/22 wins.
Results 1 to 30 of 36
Thread: Finishing 3rd 'points per game'
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12-08-2020 09:22 AM #1
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Finishing 3rd 'points per game'
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12-08-2020 09:26 AM #2
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I'd be plesently surprised if we get 38 games in this season. Making an early season run of form even more important than ever
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12-08-2020 09:27 AM #3
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12-08-2020 09:32 AM #5
I can't see when we'll drop below 3 points per game, if anything we'll just keep getting better.
Mon the Hibs.
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12-08-2020 09:36 AM #6
3rd? We're currently top. Have some ambition. Longer we stay top the more we'll have to go round the pups to catch other teams players in the pubs.
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12-08-2020 09:42 AM #7This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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12-08-2020 09:42 AM #8
It's amazing how 3 wins on the Bounce in the opening games makes everyone feel. There will be other teams outside hibs and the Glasgow uglies that will win 3 games in a row. I'm loving being a Hibee right now and if we win on Saturday my excitement levels may be visable 👀
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12-08-2020 09:43 AM #9
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Aim for 3rd and anything more is a bonus...
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12-08-2020 09:43 AM #10This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Probably time to call it now and award the title to whichever team is currently top.
Sadly, as the Championship hasn’t started yet, there can be no relegation or promotion, but I’m sure we can all agree this would be FAIR.
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12-08-2020 09:48 AM #11
We should be striving to win the league every year, every team should be, otherwise, what's the ****ing point? Leicester showed it can be done, nothing is impossible and if you've got a system that works with the players you've got then we should fear no team in Scotland. I would like to think nobody at the club has ever thought coming 3rd was mission accomplished.
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12-08-2020 09:51 AM #12This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
The stars aligning for Leicester is not proof Hibs can win the league. 3rd would be very much mission accomplished.
Of course its not impossible for us to win it, same as its not impossible for Hamilton to win it. But realistically, we should be aiming to punch our weight and push the OF as hard as we can.
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12-08-2020 09:53 AM #13This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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12-08-2020 09:59 AM #14This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Not a realistic thing to ever expect, though. I'd be very happy with 3rd. That is most definitely our realistic target.
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12-08-2020 10:16 AM #15
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Not that it’ll happen but if we are somehow top approaching the end of January I doubt we’d be able to fend off bigot bros bids for our top players.
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12-08-2020 10:22 AM #16This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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12-08-2020 10:24 AM #17
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12-08-2020 10:29 AM #18This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
J
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12-08-2020 10:29 AM #19This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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12-08-2020 10:38 AM #20
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Statistically how how many points to be top?
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12-08-2020 10:54 AM #21
I love wee facts like this - it took Hibs until 30 October last season, 11 games, to get 9 points. So we're ahead of schedule that way.
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12-08-2020 10:55 AM #22
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In the region of 2.3 points per game give or take.
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12-08-2020 10:59 AM #23
Target 64pts going on average of 1.68 per game.
That's 18 wins, 10 draws and 10 losses.
Or basically 2 wins, a draw and a loss every 4 games would do.
Very achievable if we avoid losing runs, 3 defeats in a row makes it very difficult. 3 wins on the bounce has made it look much more feasible, we're needing W15 D10 L10 from now!
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12-08-2020 12:32 PM #24This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
00/01 - 2.55 ppg
01/02 - 2.71 ppg
02/03 - 2.55 ppg
03/04 - 2.57 ppg
04/05 - 2.44 ppg
05/06 - 2.39 ppg
06/07 - 2.21 ppg
07/08 - 2.34 ppg
08/09 - 2.26 ppg
09/10 - 2.28 ppg
10/11 - 2.44 ppg
11/12 - 2.44 ppg
12/13 - 2.07 ppg
13/14 - 2.60 ppg
14/15 - 2.42 ppg
15/16 - 2.26 ppg
16/17 - 2.78 ppg
17/18 - 2.15 ppg
18/19 - 2.28 ppg
19/20 - 2.66 ppg
The average is 2.42 points per game which is around 92 points. So only another 27 wins to go!
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12-08-2020 12:36 PM #25
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Personall I'd devalue no score draws further and reward score draws more.
If it's Nil-Nil then penalty shoot out and winner takes the sole point.
If it is a score draw each team gets a point but also penalty shoot out with winner getting a second point.
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12-08-2020 12:55 PM #26This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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12-08-2020 01:04 PM #27
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12-08-2020 01:22 PM #28This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
00/01 - 2.15
01/02 - 2.23
02/03 - 2.55
03/04 - 2.13
04/05 - 2.42
05/06 - 1.94
06/07 - 1.89
07/08 - 2.26
08/09 - 2.15
09/10 - 2.13
10/11 - 2.42
11/12 - 1.63 (Motherwell finished 3rd but were put into 2nd due to Rangers being liquidated)
12/13 - 1.65
13/14 - 1.84
14/15 - 1.97
15/16 - 1.86
16/17 - 2
17/18 - 1.92
18/19 - 2.05
19/20 - 2.31
That means the average points per game for the team finishing second has been 2.075 which is 78.85 points. So we're looking at around 80 points to be sure! So just another 24 wins required!
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12-08-2020 01:28 PM #29This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
So just beating the second placed team does not make you top as you are actually only making the second place team third and yourself second!
In other words just beating Rangers to second does not make you Celtic
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12-08-2020 01:35 PM #30This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Let's compromise and say we'll need between 80-90 points to finish top!
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