There are understandably a lot of posts questioning just how good our team actually is and what are the biggest problem areas. I realise there is a danger of over simplification but I thought yesterday's statistics were, once again, quite telling.
Hibs
Shots 11, On Target 5, Goals 1
Dundee Utd
Shots 6, On Target 2, Goals 1
Other teams conversion of goals to shots on target seems to be incredibly high against us but ours is invariably very low. This was only yesterday's match but it's a pattern we've been seeing for the last two seasons, often with much worse conversion rates than the figures above.
The opposition seems to be able to just wait it out, knowing that they'll invariably convert most of their chances against us, while we miss a barrowload at the other end.
Results 1 to 15 of 15
Thread: What The Statistics Tell Us
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03-10-2016 08:25 AM #1
What The Statistics Tell Us
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03-10-2016 08:46 AM #2This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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03-10-2016 08:49 AM #3This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
2 of our shots were tame efforts from McGeough, one was the goal, I can't for the life of me remember the other 2 however. Possibly the stramash in the last minute?
Just a poor performance from start to finish. No pace, tempo is so slow, very little movement. The quicker we stop trying to fit a system to our players and begin putting our players in a system the better. Flat 4-4-2 with Cummings and Holt/Graham up top, Boyle on one side and Shinnie/Keatings(Due to having no recognised left winger), and two of McGinn, Fyvie, McGeough in the middle. Or 4-3-3 with Boyle & Keatings either side of Cummings/Holt/Graham.
This gives us plenty pace in the side. Work the ball wide, take a man on, a bit penetration and high tempo. Teams will not be able to live with a quick passing, high tempo Hibs side.
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03-10-2016 08:54 AM #4This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Our best performance at home was against Morton, where we scored four headers, three of which came from early balls into the box, from players nowhere near the byeline - we had no option to do that on Saturday, due to Holt and Graham not starting. We need to get the ball in the box more.
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03-10-2016 09:03 AM #5This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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03-10-2016 09:04 AM #6This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Utd are pretty much bang on for that from yesterday.
I do think you're right generally and it's not unusual for us to see teams getting 1 or 2 goals from 2 or 3 shots which is a bit off statistically.
The big problem is how far off we are statistically - Shots to SoT is usually what I'd expect but goals there's a massive tail off.
Last season we had plenty games with 15+ shots and that should be in the 3+ goals category.
Instead we were 1 or 2 up and drew.
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03-10-2016 09:19 AM #7
1.6 goals per game is way below what's needed. Lennon needs to sort that. Quickly.
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03-10-2016 09:26 AM #8
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Although beaten by the Keatings free kick Bell didn't have to make a save until Keatings scored.
Non stat-until we get a player capable of organising and running a game(Fyvie comes closest) we will struggle.
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03-10-2016 09:31 AM #9
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03-10-2016 09:47 AM #10
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They tell me if we had a midfielder who actually got on the end if things as well we might have a few more goals.
Does Pat McGinlay have a son?
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03-10-2016 10:55 AM #11This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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03-10-2016 11:02 AM #12
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03-10-2016 11:49 AM #13This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
We seem far too capable of making the ER as narrow looking as possible, even though it is one of the biggest in the country, and that is done by flooding the middle of the park. If you play a diamond, your "Shinnie" should be beyond there midfield in the hole, however due to the way teams play, ie 5 defensive midfielders, it results in us having 9 men within about 30 yards in the middle of the pitch and no room to work in.
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03-10-2016 01:44 PM #14
The biggest problem we have is a lack of directness in our midfielders. It's not often we see our midfield running at opposing defences as they prefer to run and pass across the pitch.
Now clearly where the opposition get everyone behind the ball for most of the 90 mins, as happened again yesterday, it's not as easy to always be direct, but they at least have to mix it up. Otherwise all we get is possession at a pedestrian rate with little goal threat.
Neil needs to change our style of play before it's too late.
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