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  1. #1
    @hibs.net private member Mikey's Avatar
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    Motherwell's Attendances - The McFadden Factor

    In the same way as we're keeping an eye on Morcambe's attendances after their "free entry" promotion, I thought it would be interesting to see what happens to Motherwell's attendances for the rest of the season. Will he be a "bums on seats" signing or not??

    So far their SPL home gates have been...........

    4,490 v St Johnstone
    4,559 v St Mirren
    4,031 v ICT
    10,496 v Celtic
    5,301 v Hibs
    3,941 v Dundee Utd
    4,318 v Dundee
    4,147 v Hearts
    3,739 v Ross County
    5,093 v Aberdeen
    4,903 v Kilmarnock
    3,649 v St Johnstone
    4,179 v ICT

    That's an average of 4,834.

    After signing..........

    4,463 v Dundee Utd
    8,641 v Celtic
    5,108 v Hibs

    That's an average of 6070
    Last edited by Mikey; 18-03-2013 at 03:13 PM.


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  3. #2
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    Who is their next game against?

  4. #3
    Dundee united tonight

  5. #4
    Ultimate Slaver Keith_M's Avatar
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    Will the results of this be as meaningless as your last attempt?


    Football Club gives free entry, attendance increased for that game. Subsequent games revert to normal price, crowds revert to normal level. I'm not sure what your point was

  6. #5
    Coaching Staff frazeHFC's Avatar
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    Our good away support shows by that attendance! They have Utd at home tonight, will he be fit anyone know?

  7. #6
    Testimonial Due 1two's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by keekaboo View Post
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    Will the results of this be as meaningless as your last attempt?


    Football Club gives free entry, attendance increased for that game. Subsequent games revert to normal price, crowds revert to normal level. I'm not sure what your point was
    People like free things?

  8. #7
    Coaching Staff frazeHFC's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by keekaboo View Post
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    Will the results of this be as meaningless as your last attempt?


    Football Club gives free entry, attendance increased for that game. Subsequent games revert to normal price, crowds revert to normal level. I'm not sure what your point was

    Yeah but it was an 'experiment' so to speak. Fans that hadn't been for a while might have gone and enjoyed it / been encouraged to go back. Hasn't seemed to work but was interesting seeing what the effect would be.

  9. #8
    @hibs.net private member Mikey's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by keekaboo View Post
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    Will the results of this be as meaningless as your last attempt?


    Football Club gives free entry, attendance increased for that game. Subsequent games revert to normal price, crowds revert to normal level. I'm not sure what your point was
    What is it you think I'm trying to achieve? Whatever it is you obviously think I've failed.

  10. #9
    Coaching Staff Gatecrasher's Avatar
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    I think Mikey is just putting to test theories that promotions or big signings bring more people to the games. It will be interesting to see if this has any immediate or long term affect on thir crowds

  11. #10
    @hibs.net private member Mikey's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gatecrasher View Post
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    I think Mikey is just putting to test theories that promotions or big signings bring more people to the games. It will be interesting to see if this has any immediate or long term affect on thir crowds


    That's exactly it. We're regularly told that various schemes will work so I think it's worth keeping an eye on these two.

  12. #11
    @hibs.net private member Viva_Palmeiras's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mikey View Post
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    That's exactly it. We're regularly told that various schemes will work so I think it's worth keeping an eye on these two.
    But the speculate to accumulate theory trumps all ;)
    "We know the people who have invested so far are simple fans." Vladimir Romanov - Scotsman 10th December 2012
    "Romanov was like a breath of fresh air - laced with cyanide." Me.

  13. #12
    @hibs.net private member Mikey's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by VivaPalmeiras View Post
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    But the speculate to accumulate theory trumps all ;)
    I'll see your "speculate to accumulate" theory and raise you an "it'll sell more pies"

  14. #13
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    Dinnae think it will affect it tae much. Have tae hand it tae the steel men. I regard them as a much smaller club than us but they consistently dae well and finish above us! Example of what a club can achieve if ran well and they constantly do

  15. #14
    Testimonial Due NYHibby's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mikey View Post
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    So far their SPL home gates have been...........

    4,490 v St Johnstone
    4,559 v St Mirren
    4,031 v ICT
    10,496 v Celtic
    5,301 v Hibs
    3,941 v Dundee Utd
    4,318 v Dundee
    4,147 v Hearts
    5,289 v Dundee Utd
    3,739 v Ross County
    5,093 v Aberdeen
    4,903 v Kilmarnock
    3,649 v St Johnstone
    4,179 v ICT
    They are playing Dundee United tonight. How have they played one team at home three times before the split? I think something is wrong with your table...

    As we all know, there are too many variables that affect attendance. In order to be able to draw any sort of meaningful conclusions, you would need to put together a data set and runs some regressions. You would then use a McFadden dummy variable.

    By just eyeballing past attendances and the average, you won't be able to separate those factors, such as them being 2nd in the league now or their form at previous points in the seasons.

  16. #15
    @hibs.net private member Mikey's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by NYHibby View Post
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    They are playing Dundee United tonight. How have they played one team at home three times before the split? I think something is wrong with your table...

    As we all know, there are too many variables that affect attendance. In order to be able to draw any sort of meaningful conclusions, you would need to put together a data set and runs some regressions. You would then use a McFadden dummy variable.

    By just eyeballing past attendances and the average, you won't be able to separate those factors, such as them being 2nd in the league now or their form at previous points in the seasons.
    Indeed. The second one shouldn't be there. I'll tidy it up..............

  17. #16
    I agree with OP that this could be interesting to watch. Whether gates improve or not, its the kind of information that a chairman would be interested in getting hold of. If a player added 500 fans to a gate at easter road, thats about £10000 per match. You could pay a short term 'big signing' 5K/match appearance money rather than a contract and still profit financially (and hopefully do better on the pitch of course).

    Very impressed by the attendance in the game vs Hibs - looks like a great away support unless there were other factors that led to a high attendance? for the away bunch!

  18. #17
    @hibs.net private member 500miles's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by M6hibee View Post
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    Dinnae think it will affect it tae much. Have tae hand it tae the steel men. I regard them as a much smaller club than us but they consistently dae well and finish above us! Example of what a club can achieve if ran well and they constantly do
    Motherwell hardly have a history of being "well run". As well as them going into admin not all that long ago, they are as entrenched as anyone in the OF centric financial model of Scottish football.

  19. #18
    @hibs.net private member cabbageandribs1875's Avatar
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    i wish stuart McColl would tell PF how to beat caley thistle after beating them 5-1 and 4-1 this season :(

  20. #19
    Professional thread starter Diclonius's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by cabbageandribs1875 View Post
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    i wish stuart McColl would tell PF how to beat caley thistle after beating them 5-1 and 4-1 this season :(
    Why would he?

  21. #20
    @hibs.net private member cabbageandribs1875's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by NYHibby View Post
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    They are playing Dundee United tonight. How have they played one team at home three times before the split? I think something is wrong with your table...

    As we all know, there are too many variables that affect attendance. In order to be able to draw any sort of meaningful conclusions, you would need to put together a data set and runs some regressions. You would then use a McFadden dummy variable.

    By just eyeballing past attendances and the average, you won't be able to separate those factors, such as them being 2nd in the league now or their form at previous points in the seasons.

    they havent, they played Dundee utd home and away in november and the 3rd game is at home tonight

  22. #21
    @hibs.net private member Frazerbob's Avatar
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    Just said on Radio Scotland that they are expecting 11K at Fir Park tonight. That would be incredible!

  23. #22
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mikey View Post
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    That's exactly it. We're regularly told that various schemes will work so I think it's worth keeping an eye on these two.
    Keeping an eye on their results and finishing place in the Spl are fairly relevant. Also McFaddens contribution to that.

  24. #23
    @hibs.net private member Ray_'s Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mikey View Post
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    In the same way as we're keeping an eye on Morcambe's attendances after their "free entry" promotion, I thought it would be interesting to see what happens to Motherwell's attendances for the rest of the season. Will he be a "bums on seats" signing or not??

    So far their SPL home gates have been...........

    4,490 v St Johnstone
    4,559 v St Mirren
    4,031 v ICT
    10,496 v Celtic
    5,301 v Hibs
    3,941 v Dundee Utd
    4,318 v Dundee
    4,147 v Hearts
    3,739 v Ross County
    5,093 v Aberdeen
    4,903 v Kilmarnock
    3,649 v St Johnstone
    4,179 v ICT

    That's an average of 4,834.
    Here's another [ex]Motherwell legend's best performance down south. http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature...v=O6OF43Ahd80#!

  25. #24
    @hibs.net private member Liam89's Avatar
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    4,633 tonight according to BBC Sportsound's twitter.

  26. #25
    Coaching Staff Albanian Hibs's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by AberGreen View Post
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    Just said on Radio Scotland that they are expecting 11K at Fir Park tonight. That would be incredible!
    Sounds like a bit of yamathematics

  27. #26
    @hibs.net private member Mikey's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Liam89 View Post
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    4,633 tonight according to BBC Sportsound's twitter.
    692 more than their last fixture against Dundee Utd.

  28. #27
    @hibs.net private member Liam89's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Mikey View Post
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    692 more than their last fixture against Dundee Utd.
    + It's a Tuesday night with Arsenal VS Bayern on the tv!

  29. #28
    @hibs.net private member Ringothedog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Liam89 View Post
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    + It's a Tuesday night with Arsenal VS Bayern on the tv!
    Why should that have an impact on the crowd. You either support a team by going or not. In their case not.

  30. #29
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    Do you think they signed McFadden to get more through the gate or to help them finish 2nd?

  31. #30
    Testimonial Due madabouthibs's Avatar
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    The Hibs game was subsidised too was it not?
    £10, and £5 for Concessions?

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