You mean when everyone thought it was a good idea to go abroad for a holiday.
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Im in awe of you guys, I still can’t remember if tier 3 is stricter than tier 4 :dunno: I also referred to tier 5 today and was informed that it didn’t exist...
Old data now but this helps visualise it I think:
Attachment 24143
To play devil's advocate, by going against the 'advertised' tier levels, has this led people to ignore the guidance and ultimately lead to an increase.
We'll never know what the alternative would have looked like but people could argue a drop to tier 2 and a plea to stay sensible may not have been any worse.
Level 1 - 20 - 75 cases per 100,000 people over 7 days and 1.5 - 3% positivity rate over 7 days
Level 2 - 75 - 150 cases per 100,000 people over 7 days and 3 - 5% positivity rate over 7 days
Level 3 - 150 - 300 cases per 100,000 people over 7 days and 5 - 10% positivity rate over 7 days
Level 4 - >300 cases per 100,000 people over 7 days and >10% positivity rate over 7 days
There is other criteria as well such as predictions on hospital capacity and future case numbers but they're harder to understand.
Edinburgh's comfortably in level 2 for case numbers and just creeping into level 3 for test positivity.
Falkirk's comfortably in level 2 for case numbers and also within level 2 for test positivity
Nowhere is meeting level 4 criteria just now. Clackmannanshire and North Ayrshire are meeting both level 3 indicators.
Is there anywhere that tracks how reilable the forecasts have been? I could be getting this wrong but this must be what accounts for a lot of level 3 placings?
Mmmmmmm https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics...Ow9CeOoTBisMWc I wonder why she didn't
Northern Ireland hospitals at 98% occupancy.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-55301430
Easing of restrictions over Christmas "makes no sense" according to doctors in Wales and the Welsh Intensive Care Society is calling for an urgent pre-Christmas lockdown.
Also seeing this article highlights how low a rate per 100,000 people Scotland has at the moment compared with other areas of the UK. Although I don't know what kind of positivity rate these areas have.
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-55299862
Noticed that the scale on the 7 day tracker has changed it’s scale
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/202...99af290feb.jpg
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https://www.theguardian.com/commenti...box=1607875609
What are people's thoughts on this piece? I'm a bit conflicted by it but I found myself nodding in agreement with large parts of it.
It’s a very good piece; not because it conforms to my beliefs about public behaviour in the pandemic, but because it challenges those beliefs.
I’ve broken guidance (or at least gone into grey areas) once or twice during the pandemic, each time within the confines of what I consider to be reasonable and taking regard for other people. Does that make me a hypocrite when I find fault with Dominic Cummings et al? I’d like to think not, because a) I judge my offences to be less dangerous and selfish b) I didn’t use my power as an influential person to cover it up, escape censure while at the same time preach to others about how they should behave. That’s real hypocrisy.
Individualism isn’t by definition a selfish thing or a preserve of people who don’t conform. It can be the last resort when the normal function of government and society lets you down. Sometimes when you have to make individual judgements you get to look into yourself and think about your own morality, which is a much more honest place to be than blind obedience.
Have to keep our fingers crossed that this new strain doesn't alter the behaviour of the virus:
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-55308211
Indeed, but she has to make the call knowing that very quickly and very easily these figures can run out of control. I know it's **** being in level 3 but I do believe its the right call.
The Scottish government have done a pretty good job of keeping the curve in this wave as flat as it is without imposing a one size fits all lockdown on the whole country.
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/202...a1c85f47fc.jpg
Any changes to tiers expected today?