Originally Posted by
Caversham Green
I do look over there regularly and I think most of them over there are being wildly optimistic. To balance that, I don't think they are going to suffer the terrible fate that some on here are anticipating either (although they could).
As things stand UBIG can't realistically sell HoMFC as a going concern for less than the value of the security they've signed over to Ukio, because that money is due from UBIG regardless of what happens re the football club. If UBIG enter administration things change somewhat because then the administrators will just be trying to get as much as they can out of the whole situation and would be more willing to strike a cheaper deal. They will however, have absolutely no concerns about what happens to HoMFC or Tynecastle, they will simply be looking to get as much money as they can for their clients.
I was more concerned when Vlad was in control of the debt tbh - I had a feeling he might 'give' away a debt-free club as a parting gesture, but now control is out of his hands things look much darker for them - everything will be done in a purely commercial way.
I wouldn't like to predict exactly what will happen - there are still too many variables to do that sensibly, but my best bet would be a Massone-owned original HoMFC languishing in SFL1 in the next few years (or in the middle 8 if the reconstruction proposals did take place. A Sevco-style resurrection is probably the worst that could realistically happen to them.