So did 13 Libdems, 5 UUP, 1 UUUP, 1 DUP and 1 Independent.
But Callaghan lost by 1 vot, how can you be sure it was the SNP vote and not one of the others????
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Should there be a thread for those who imagine politics and democracy finished in 2014? Maybe another for those who imagine it was 1979?
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If the comments had been made by a couple of lesser SNP lights then sure, it would be stretching things to say they carried much long-term clout, but the independence movement has Alex Salmond to thank for making it relevant and it's not unreasonable to attach significant weight to what he (and Sturgeon) said. When it became clear that Scotland had voted no I have a clear memory of thinking 'thank *****, now we can get back on with our lives without all this p*sh'. Hard as it might be for 'yes' voters to absorb, 'no' voters were rightly hacked off to discover that 'once in a generation' turned out to mean that the bleating for another go began pretty much the very next day.
Labour had committed to support for a Scottish Assembly and in the general election of 1974 the SNP gained won a record 11 seats. For them to cut a deal with the leader of an opposition party which opposed devolution, let alone independence, was very much a case (as Callaghan said) of turkeys voting for Christmas. Little surprise that playing a key role in Thatcher's ascension saw them lose all but two of their seats and enter decades in the doldrums. Plaid Cymru's MPs, incidentally, voted with the Labour government.
Sure, it was 40 plus years ago, but it remains an indelible, if inconvenient, part of the SNP's history.
No, obviously not when your raison d'etre is to achieve independence. I'm just pointing out that it's not unreasonable to use the once in a generation/lifetime claim as a stick to beat them with, given that it was the leading light of the losing side who stated it.
Depends whether you regard living in the UK as 'life under the Tories' I guess. As I've made clear, there are numerous more meaningful aspects of being British for me than who happens to be in power at Westminster.
It's not so long ago, though, that we had a Labour government in power for over a decade, one which the Scottish electorate voted for in droves. The mantra that we never get what we vote for is a myth which suits the SNP to perpetuate.
Maybe you could read this from someone who was there. It might refresh your memory.
It might even give you an incite into what actually happened. The deal that could have kept Callaghan in government which they decided not to do, and much more. Poor old Alfred Broughton was told not to bother turning up for the vote.
I get that Britnats will want to bash the Scotnats at all times, but their was too much going on in 1979, and the proceeding years to pin it all on the SNP, although that's been your want.
Happy reading. :aok:
https://www.theguardian.com/politics...-1979-thatcher
It says in that article that 15% of people that voted No stated the prospect of leaving the EU was a major factor in their vote.
Three other major factors stated by No voters were 'Pensions', 'Defence & Security', 'Oil and Benefits'... all part of Project Fear.
You really need to read articles properly before posting them as evidence.
I'm not sure you can come to that conclusion when respondents were limited to "2 or 3" major issues in their replies. There may have been other issues which loomed larger (NHS, pensions) but by artificially limiting replies you can't be certain that the EU was not a major issue, it just wasn't in the top 2 or 3 for most people.
There's nothing to 'prove'. The irrefutable fact is that the SNP agreed to vote with the Tories. Without that agreement Thatcher would obviously not have gone ahead with the vote of no confidence. It wasn't as though there was a sharp intake of breath as the 'Tartan Tories' walked through the lobby with the Tories. She knew she had them in her pocket.
As Callaghan put it during the no-confidence debate: "We can truly say that once the Leader of the Opposition discovered what the Liberals and the SNP would do, she found the courage of their convictions. So, tonight, the Conservative Party, which wants the Act repealed and opposes even devolution, will march through the Lobby with the SNP, which wants independence for Scotland, and with the Liberals, who want to keep the Act. What a massive display of unsullied principle! The minority parties have walked into a trap. If they win, there will be a general election. I am told that the current joke going around the House is that it is the first time in recorded history that turkeys have been known to vote for an early Christmas."
The post you've replied to was in relation to Salmond's once in a generation/lifetime quote, but thanks for this anyway. I've read that Hattersley piece before but will do so again when I have time to wade through it as I remember it being excellent. I've also seen James Graham's play This House, which relates to the Broughton issue and is also superb. Hard to imagine such honour among whips these days.
I've never suggested the downfall of that Labour government could all be pinned on the SNP. However, there's simply no way of getting round the fact they voted with the Tories and in doing so helped to hasten the election which ushered in the Thatcher era.
I don't suppose the defections of 3 labour mps in 1976 would have helped 🤣🤣🤣
Or indeed the lib-lab pact hadn't collapsed in 1978
Or maybe, just maybe, a Labour mp in England hadn't rigged the devolution referendum in March 1979.
If all of these things hadn't happened before the vote of confidence in Callaghan's government then thatcher might have been a bit more cautious about calling the VOC.
But, of course it's all the SNP fault 🙄
What?
Sure ok it was a massive issue and scored above Pensions, the economy, the NHS, the pound, defence and security and tax and public spending.
I mean it's such a huge issue now that the polls for Yes have moved significantly since 2016 and then the disaster that is Brexit.
If 20% of the electorate were swayed by the fact (for fact read lie) that voting no meant Scotland would stay in the EU then that has major implications for the validity of the last referendum. If that fact (lie) was why 20% voted for No, then it had a major impact on the results of the 2014 referendum.
You really are into selective reading.
I mentioned a number of issues that, when added together, makes a significant difference in a vote that ended 55 to 45.
But if you want to take the EU issue alone, that's 15% of the 55% that voted No.
If even two thirds of those had voted otherwise on what they felt was a major issue, the vote would have been 50.5% Yes and 49.5% No.
Are you getting it yet?
That's fine, you went from denying any statement had been made to rubbishing the statement that had been made. It was a clear statement from someone senior in the EU, that's good enough for me. I am sure if it said the opposite it would be used as evidence of the opposite. The policies the SNP had in 2014 made it clear we would have left the EU and had to apply to rejoin, things like not having your own currency and central bank being one such policy.
It's a moot point at the end of the day, the policies of the SNP meant Scotland could never have just automatically joined the EU upon Independence, not when they would be using the pound in an unofficial currency union and still relying on the Bank of England which would basically be a foreign countrys central bank.
Is that true? We have Ian Blackford saying Sterling will be used for "years" and then the SNP pass policies at conference saying 6 tests need to be met before a new currency is introduced and then others saying a new currency would be introduced within weeks of Independence. It's still all over the place.
I am sure the paper on currency whenever it's due will give us some insight.
I do think that ultimately it's going to be a waste of money yes, and effort and resources that could be put into something else. But the more I think about it the more I believe what's happening now is best for Nicola Sturgeon, rather than what's best for the Independence movement. She can leave office in a few years and say well I did all I could. But if the Supreme Court rules as expected and there is no referendum next year and she turns the General Election into a "defacto referendum" and gets less than 50% then basically that's IndyRef2 lost, and that could put back the Independence movement years. But she will be fine, did all she could etc, time for someone else to take it forward. Off to some UN job somewhere no doubt.
I know I am pretty much alone in thinking this but even some SNP and Indy supporters must be having some doubts.....
That is another straw that is being clutched at by unionists. And the Indy supporters you see claiming that are the ones who are still clinging to the hope that Salmond is going to ride in on his charger shouting a freedom and unite everyone behind Alba. Never going to happen! NS has spent her entire adult life campaigning for independence. I’m sure she will still do so after the next referendum if it doesn’t go the right way. Albeit not as FM or leader of the SNP.
Is that the case now? I'm not really up to date on that part, so I honestly don't know.
My preference would be to (eventually) adopt the Euro, but there's usually some scare stories going round about that and I wonder if they're worried if that might put some people off.
It's a bit like retaining Royalty. I don't believe many people in the SNP genuinely want to do it, but I suspect it's an attempt to appeal to certain demographics.
That assumes it was true in the first place.
Amazingly! It's not.
The criteria for EU accession - https://ec.europa.eu/neighbourhood-e...-membership_en
Having your own currency is a condition of joining the Eurozone, not the EU. To join the EU, an iScotland would have to commit in principle to joining the Eurozone, but there is no timescale applied to that. There are 8 EU countries not currently using the Euro: Bulgaria, Croatia, Czech Republic, Denmark, Hungary, Poland, Romania, and Sweden.
Sweden has been committed to join since 1995, but has not met the conditions (purposefully, ie. they've decided up until now to keep their own currency).
From this page quoted.
https://ec.europa.eu/neighbourhood-e...-membership_en
"The first step is for the country to meet the key criteria for accession. These were mainly defined at the European Council in Copenhagen in 1993 and are hence referred to as 'Copenhagen criteria'."
Using the pound informally is the current position of the SNP based on their Growth Commission report. In terms of joining the EU, It is a non-starter. The economic criteria of ‘functioning market economy’ which is a feature of the Copenhagen Agreement is measured by showing a track record in managing monetary policies such as Interest rates and quantitative easing; which Scotland couldn’t show as it would all be decided in the non-EU rUK.
Kirsty Hughes is widely recognised as an expert in this area and is a huge supporter of Scottish Independence, she says;
https://twitter.com/KirstyS_Hughes/s...hvOVGxXTw&s=19
"Other issues will come to the fore too: if an indy Scotland adopts the pound for several years & UK is out of the EU, that will mean Scotland doesn't meet EU accession criteria."
And
https://twitter.com/KirstyS_Hughes/s...8r9aNnG4A&s=19
Unlikely to take indy Scotland 10 years to rejoin EU https://t.co/03EyeUv06m. But there is a problem of using pound, if rUK has left EU: member states not in euro are meant to target price stability & treat their exchange rate w euro as matter of common concern.
https://www.thenational.scot/news/20...lackford-says/
"An independent Scotland could keep British pound for years, Ian Blackford says"
Turkish lira is used in Cyprus, Swiss Frank is used in both Italy and Germany. While these countries are in the eurozone there are areas, which for historical reasons still use 'foreign' currency.
Lol, the official currency of Cyprus is the Euro.
https://european-union.europa.eu/pri...iles/cyprus_en
Currency: euro. Euro area member since 1 January 2008
I don't need to tell you what the official currency of Italy and Germany is.
Your examples are not of whole countries using a different currency, not even close.
If I posted such a tenuous link it would be ridiculed.
This feels very Brexity, ignore the expert's and assume we will get some kind of special deal just because.
Norther Cyprus is one example, whilst being legally within the EU its official currency is the Turkish Lira. Campionne d'Italia is also a strange exception after becoming part of the EU in 2020. Officially their currency is now the Euro but in reality all that is accepted is the Swiss Franc.
Like everything in the EU, where there's a will there's a way.
The fact we are at the stage of saying Scotland is similar to Northern Cyrpus, which is only legally recognized by Turkey, or a commune in Italy with a population of under 2,000 people then it's more desperate than I thought.
There is no formal EU member state that uses another countries currency.
Why can't the answer be along the lines of yes it's an issue, something that we need answers on and hopefully we get them instead of referring to communes in Italy with under 2,000 people and the size of an Edinburgh suburb.
It seems some folk just want to put blockers in the way of progress, can't see a different future, and prefer the status quo. They'll tell you different, but never will they put up a positive about joining Europe. It's always what can't be done, rather than what can.
As you say, where there's a will there's a way.
Sorry I just don't take it seriously that the examples you quote are in any way comparable. If they were we would see them being used regularly and often by Independence supporters, we never have.
If you think they are relevant examples then that's great. We can agree to disagree.
Hibrandenburg has also given you the same information. Such a shame you can't help but be negative all the time.
You asked if any EU state used another currency and have been given the same answer twice. It may not be the whole country but that is not what you asked.
A commune in Italy is not an EU member state! Northern Cyrpus is not recognized by anyone except Turkey. The official currency of Cyrpus is the Euro.
If you believe these are great examples and you have got me here then crack on.
And I asked if an existing EU state joined the EU using another countries currency, big difference.
Is the Euro (or a promise to adopt it) mandatory for joining the Single Market?
No, and in fact you can't join the Eurozone without being in the EU. Kosovo and Montenegro both use the Euro without being Eurozone members.
I'm pretty sure the reality of the situation is that iScotland would be "parked" in the EEA pre-accession and would take a few years to transition to full EU membership. During that time, we would also transition from any period of Sterlingisation to our own currency.
Thanks, both.
Kinda knew that, but was confused by some of the more extreme chat going on there.
It's therefore up to the Yes side to make all of that explicit, so that it's not hidden by the smoke of the No side.
Just as long as we're not joined to the b*****d English tho :wink:
Joking aside, how does that sunny outlook square with more than a third of SNP supporters voting for Brexit?
I've never bought into this supposed love for the EU that Scotland has allegedly always had. I doubt if I ever gave it a second thought pre-Brexit and even now a Yes Minister episode about the consistency of sausages (or something like that...it's the one where Hacker becomes PM) is pretty much the first thing I associate with the EU!
You may be surprised to hear I agree. The SNP policy is full EU membership for Scotland, nothing less. If they had some kind of roadmap that said stage 1 we will do this, stage 2 we will do this which them leads onto stage 3 etc then it would stop some of the noise.
We have nothing like that at all though. It's just we will join the EU, so any noise will be around what joining the EU means until they clarify otherwise.
That's a terrible first sentence. Shame on you.
The English and Welsh are welcome to come along when they can stand on their own without Scotland's resources. Not sure the rest of the EU would accept them though.
Im all for working with my European neighbours as an equal partner. I can always wave at my English friends as I swan through border control.
Do you have an up to date figure for those SNP members who voted for Brexit 6 years ago?
Will the no side provide a similar roadmap to how we get out of the post Brexit managed decline we’re in? You only want to talk about the difficulties of independence, of which there are many, but avoid at all costs talking about the difficulties that come with a second no vote.
Do you think that choosing a currency for a newly independent country is like buying a car? "I'll have that one, in yellow, with a diesel engine and alloy wheels". Same with timescales. Once we vote for independence there will be difficult discussions and negotiations to be had both with rUK and with the EU. Neither of these discussions can go very far at present because the rUK are denying that Scotland will ever be independent, and the EU can't openly have such discussions with us until we've made some progress with a referendum.
So I expect there's a lot of thinking going on at SG, and there will ultimately be a white paper setting out some broad principles around both currency and timetable. As said above, where there's a will there's a way. We will get to these things, at the appropriate time.
I keep seeing where there is a will there's a way, I knew I had seen it before. Yes it's common phrase but I am sure at the time this would have been criticised by the very same people saying it now.
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/hunt-where...083720541.html
After 2014 the SG should’ve brought out its own Scottish currency. Pegged ti the pound like the idea in Bristol but with maybe incentives on using that currency instead. Therefore now we’d have a better argument to say look we have our own currency and then also after joining the EU either used both. But this “all will be revealed later” isn’t swaying voters
Maybe he is onto something.
https://twitter.com/RideoutTim/statu...KLtqsizeg&s=19
I wonder what the exchange rate is?
Are you aware of the EU relaxing the rules for anyone else? Montenegro applied for EU membership in 2008 and is still waiting, why are they not being flexible with them?
The EU said in a paper from 2014.
https://ec.europa.eu/neighbourhood-e...er_2013_en.pdf
"The accession process today is more rigorous and comprehensive than in the past. This reflects the evolution of EU policies as well as lessons learned from previous enlargements. The process is built on strict but fair conditionality with progress towards membership dependent on the steps taken by each country to meet the established criteria. A key lesson from the past is the importance of addressing the fundamentals first."
There is little basis for saying somehow Scotland will get a special deal. I am not saying they will take a hard line, they will just insist the rules are followed. Meet the criteria and you are in.
Scotland will do whatever it has to do to re-enter the EU. Anyone who says on here we wont is surely just trolling?
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Well it's a far better example than a commune in Italy with a population under 2,000 and the size of an Edinburgh suburb. It's an actual country going through the application process now.
But can you name any examples of where the EU was flexible with entry requirements, there may well be some but I am not aware of any?