sunshine1875
03-09-2011, 07:54 AM
Qualification for Euro 2012 should become a lot clearer after today and certainly after Tuesday. What is clear is that we have to beat the Czechs and the Liths. If we don't second place in the group is unlikely!
IF we can beat the Czechs and the Liths, we will have 10 points from six games, with the Czechs 9 points from six games. The Czechs could go back above us if they beat Spain. A draw may not be enough for them depending on our result today. If they fail to get a result against Spain, then a win for Scotland away to Liechtenstein would mean that we finish second and likely to get a play-off slot. That would mean the Czechs game away to the Liths and ours away to Spain are not important - even the race for a play-off slot should be secured by then!
IF we can beat the Czechs and the Liths, our 10 points from six games would put us in 5th equal in the race for the play-offs. Above us would be:
Norway 13 (from 6)
Sweden 12 (6)
Rep. Ireland 11 (6)
Montenegro 11 (6)
We would be level with
Croatia 10 (5)
Bosnia 10 (6)
We would be above
Turkey 7 (5)
Slovenia 5 (6)
All of these teams could change as:
1 - Team may potentially finish first in its group
3 - Team may potentially finish third or worse in its group
6 - Sixth-placed team in group may change (so ranking of second-placed team may improve or worsen even if it does not play).
IF we can beat the Czechs and the Liths, we will have 10 points from six games, with the Czechs 9 points from six games. The Czechs could go back above us if they beat Spain. A draw may not be enough for them depending on our result today. If they fail to get a result against Spain, then a win for Scotland away to Liechtenstein would mean that we finish second and likely to get a play-off slot. That would mean the Czechs game away to the Liths and ours away to Spain are not important - even the race for a play-off slot should be secured by then!
IF we can beat the Czechs and the Liths, our 10 points from six games would put us in 5th equal in the race for the play-offs. Above us would be:
Norway 13 (from 6)
Sweden 12 (6)
Rep. Ireland 11 (6)
Montenegro 11 (6)
We would be level with
Croatia 10 (5)
Bosnia 10 (6)
We would be above
Turkey 7 (5)
Slovenia 5 (6)
All of these teams could change as:
1 - Team may potentially finish first in its group
3 - Team may potentially finish third or worse in its group
6 - Sixth-placed team in group may change (so ranking of second-placed team may improve or worsen even if it does not play).