Scottish Cup Draw - Hearts v Hibs

[neil7908]

Not the worst draw ever but I'm in the camp that wants the easiest possible route - lower league team at home (guess which club got that?).

I certainly don't fear going to Tynecastle but it'll be a classic game for Potter - freezing cold, rubbish pitch with long balls, 11 men behind the ball and lumps being kicked out of us.

We could easily be without McGinn and have picked up some injuries given our run of games in December/January.

Also, after Newco's extraordinary, one in a million run of home games in the cup, we're now away to Hearts AGAIN.

I'm not one for conspiracies but some odd outcomes here.

[oneone73]

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We could easily be without McGinn and have picked up some injuries given our run of games in December/January.

Tiny is our first game in January.

[danhibees1875]

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And the year before
But one chance in 15 times 1 in 15 times 1 in 31
Is about 1 I 7000

I think it's even more than that in the example of hearts being at home each time. I'm not entirely sure on statistics but probably effectively an extra 1/2 chance on top of each of those individually - so 1 in 55800.

Regardless, it's not a fix. It's a coincidence.

[SJNB Hibby]

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I think it's even more than that in the example of hearts being at home each time. I'm not entirely sure on statistics but probably effectively an extra 1/2 chance on top of each of those individually - so 1 in 55800.

Regardless, it's not a fix. It's a coincidence.

Youre probably right, when was the last time the OF were drawn together three years in a row
prior to the Q-F's?

[CallumLaidlaw]

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And the year before
But one chance in 15 times 1 in 15 times 1 in 31
Is about 1 I 7000

All 3 years have been in the 4th round. Its just the last 2 years we've started a round earlier.

[Mikey]

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Any mathematicians out there like to work,out the odds of exactly the same drawn home and away teams at the same round of the Scottish cup.........just in case anyone out there thinks the draw isn't fixed.......

Did you watch the draw live? If so, how did they fix it?

[whiskyhibby]

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Did you watch the draw live? If so, how did they fix it?

I wonder what the odds are, how it’s fixed I don’t know......

[easty]

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I wonder what the odds are, how it’s fixed I don’t know......

and you won't know...cos it's not fixed.

[whiskyhibby]

I would tend to look at the statistics, if the odds are say 3 billion to one then the most obvious answer is its fixed

[My_Wife_Camille]

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Did you watch the draw live? If so, how did they fix it?

I don’t think it’s fixed either but these types of questions are so *****. I don’t know how the ESA managed to land a probe on a moving comet but it doesn’t mean it didn’t happen

If it was a fix they’d hardly make it obvious for any average joe watching the telly to notice would they?

[Bostonhibby]

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Did you watch the draw live? If so, how did they fix it?

Can't see it being a fix, when there's an ordinary draw they always manage some sort of cock up or blootered celebrity going off script so can you imagine the balloons that run the sfa trying to actually fiddle something properly?

FFS they sent all the cops to ibrox for a non existent party and couldn't keep a few exuberant hibbies off the pitch at Hampden.

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[hibbysam]

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All 3 years have been in the 4th round. Its just the last 2 years we've started a round earlier.

No, they haven’t. We have started in round 4 every year, the last two years we have played them in round 5. The only difference is that they used to have round 4 in December, we now have it in January due to the extended preliminaries.

[easty]

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I don’t think it’s fixed either but these types of questions are so *****. I don’t know how the ESA managed to land a probe on a moving comet but it doesn’t mean it didn’t happen

If it was a fix they’d hardly make it obvious for any average joe watching the telly to notice would they?

It was Doddie Weir, Colin Cameron and the SFA...not rocket scientists!

[Mikey]

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It was Doddie Weir, Colin Cameron and the SFA...not rocket scientists!

Aye, Colin Cameron the Jambo was told that he had to fix it so that Hearts would play Hibs.

He'd be up for that right enough!

[renato]

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FFS they sent all the cops to ibrox for a non existent party and couldn't keep a few exuberant hibbies AND HEROIC WEST OF SCOTLAND SUPPORTERS off the pitch at Hampden.

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Fixed that for you

[HFCdeb]

Can't wait! Two derbies at their dump in the space of a month - buzzing.

[ajf]

When do the half away season tickets go on sale

[Seveno]

There were 32 teams in the draw so it was 1 in 31 that we would get Hearts. What happened in the past does not affect those odds.

[Hibbyradge]

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It was Doddie Weir, Colin Cameron and the SFA...not rocket scientists!

Magicians, the pair of them.

And we now know that they're both dishonest too.

The reason that the SFA, an organisation of which Petrie and Budge are an important part, wanted that fixture in the first round still eludes me, but it's as obvious as the nose on your face that it was fixed.

[CropleyWasGod]

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There were 32 teams in the draw so it was 1 in 31 that we would get Hearts. What happened in the past does not affect those odds.

That's correct.

I think the poster was asking the odds of us being paired together 3 years in a row. I wasn't great at statistics, but think that would be (if it was the round of 32 every time, which I'm not sure it was) 31 x 31 x 31. 1 in 29,791.

Edit, I've just noticed he asked about the home/away thing being the same. I'll pass on that.

[Bostonhibby]

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Fixed that for you

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[scoopyboy]

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All 3 years have been in the 4th round. Its just the last 2 years we've started a round earlier.

No it's no.

In 2016 we played Raith before playing Hearts.

In 2017 we played Bonnyrigg before playing Hearts.

This is the first year out of three we have them in our first game.

[Nicho87]

Had a quick look over the road as well. you would think it was them unbeaten in 8. amazing what a ****ty unfinished stand does for your confidence. don't even want to win at Tynie, take the draw to make them suffer sunshine on Leith again :)

[CallumLaidlaw]

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No it's no.

In 2016 we played Raith before playing Hearts.

In 2017 we played Bonnyrigg before playing Hearts.

This is the first year out of three we have them in our first game.

Aye, I had it in my head that we entered in the 3rd round he last 2 years due to being in championship but I was wrong


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[scoopyboy]

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That's correct.

I think the poster was asking the odds of us being paired together 3 years in a row. I wasn't great at statistics, but think that would be (if it was the round of 32 every time, which I'm not sure it was) 31 x 31 x 31. 1 in 29,791.

Edit, I've just noticed he asked about the home/away thing being the same. I'll pass on that.

The last two seasons it was in the round of the last 16.

[easty]

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That's correct.

I think the poster was asking the odds of us being paired together 3 years in a row. I wasn't great at statistics, but think that would be (if it was the round of 32 every time, which I'm not sure it was) 31 x 31 x 31. 1 in 29,791.

Edit, I've just noticed he asked about the home/away thing being the same. I'll pass on that.

Slimmer than that CWG, last season the odds were only 1 in 15 we'd get Hearts, same the year before.

31 x 15 x 15. 1 in 6975

[CropleyWasGod]

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Slimmer than that CWG, last season the odds were only 1 in 15 we'd get Hearts, same the year before.

31 x 15 x 15. 1 in 6975

OK, ta. And then factor in the probability of us being drawn away every time. My gut says you double it, but my head says "nah, it's more complicated than that..... "

[Hibbyradge]

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OK, ta. And then factor in the probability of us being drawn away every time. My gut says you double it, but my head says "nah, it's more complicated than that..... "

There were 63 possible team and venue possibilities this time.

In last 2, there were 31.

Therefore, the chance calculation is 63 x31x31 = 60543.

I think.

[Hibrandenburg]

If it's fixed then it's been fixed in Hibs favour. Our cup wins against them are partly responsible for the good feeling at the club right now, long may that continue.

P.S. it's not a fix, simply coincidental good fortune.

[whiskyhibby]

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There were 63 possible team and venue possibilities this time.

In last 2, there were 31.

Therefore, the chance calculation is 63 x31x31 = 60543.

I think.

I would agree with that, so the likelihood of us drawing away against hearts 3 times on the trot is once in 60543 draws.........