odds of winning the lottery are higher...but still people win it...who's fixing that? and why?This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Results 271 to 300 of 314
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21-11-2017 11:52 AM #271
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21-11-2017 11:53 AM #272This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
So, if luck was even handed, it won't happen again for another 60542 years.
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21-11-2017 12:07 PM #275
I couldn't believe it when I saw the draw last night.
How come it always seem to be drawn at Tynecastle?
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21-11-2017 12:12 PM #276This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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21-11-2017 12:16 PM #277This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
A lot less than 3 billion
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21-11-2017 12:22 PM #278This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Mon the Hibs.
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21-11-2017 12:25 PM #280This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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21-11-2017 12:29 PM #281This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
I realised that after I posted, but forgot to edit.
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21-11-2017 12:32 PM #282This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
I'm pretty sure it's 62 30 30.
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21-11-2017 12:34 PM #283This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Then Hibs have to be drawn which is 61/1 or 31/1.
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21-11-2017 12:35 PM #284This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
Dontcha just love a probability debate?
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21-11-2017 12:36 PM #286
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21-11-2017 12:37 PM #287This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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21-11-2017 12:37 PM #288
Should each draw not just be looked at independently? Either way, it’s just a coincidence. The chance of a coin-flip being heads is always (just under) 50/50, regardless of how many heads have come prior.
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21-11-2017 12:39 PM #289This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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21-11-2017 12:39 PM #290This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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21-11-2017 12:43 PM #291This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
2*31*2*15*2*15 = 55800
Either way, it's unlikely but it happened and it wasn't a fix (probably).Mon the Hibs.
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21-11-2017 12:44 PM #292This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
In a 64 team round, we can have either ( one of 31) teams at home, or (one of 31) teams away. So, drawing Hearts away is a 1 in 62 chance.
In a 32 team round, it's 1 in 30.Last edited by CropleyWasGod; 21-11-2017 at 12:46 PM.
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21-11-2017 12:45 PM #293This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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21-11-2017 12:52 PM #294This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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21-11-2017 12:53 PM #295This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
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21-11-2017 12:56 PM #296
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The practice draw last year also drew Hibs vs Hearts but at Easter Road (I think).
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21-11-2017 12:56 PM #297This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
And in the SC draw, there were 62, 31, and 31 possibilities.
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21-11-2017 12:57 PM #298This quote is hidden because you are ignoring this member. Show Quote
You're right in saying that, for any given coin toss, what's gone before is irrelevant (or almost, because 10 heads in a row would suggest a quirky coin), but speculation on the probability of future events has to study the events as a whole and not individually.
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21-11-2017 01:00 PM #299
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Working out is:-
(1/2) x (1/15) x (1/2) x (1/15) x (1/31) = 1 / 55 800
The half is required to set the home team each year and the '1 in 15' etc is the probability of the away team being picked.
The general formula is:-
(1/2)^k × (1/(n1 - 1)) x (1/(n2 -1)) x (1/n3 -1)) x ..... x (1/(nk-1))
where k is the number of years and n1, n2, n3 ..., nk is the number of teams left in at each round in a given year.
Who said mathematics / statistics was boring.
Sent from my SM-T820 using Tapatalk
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21-11-2017 01:06 PM #300
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I need a lie down after this one.
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