Originally Posted by
Smartie
I've taken a pounding the last couple of weeks and lost a fortune, having done well all year.
I weighed in on Scott Hend in-play last weekend and he threw it away.
I also weighed in in-play on Lee Slattery the week before, as well as Jordan Spieth in the American golf.
So I'm on a bad run.
Again, I may choose to make my bets in-play.
I've taken a couple to finish in the top 20 in the European golf at fairly short odds - Joost Luiten and Julian Suri. These should hopefully give me a bit of money to bet in-play over the weekend.
I tend to lose quite badly in the American golf at this time of year. The fields are bursting with quality every week and it is hard to spot the value. You'd expect all of the usuals to be up there, probably at fairly skinny odds - Jordan, Justin, DJ.
I think I'll watch and wait - if Jordan or JT are in the mix but a couple back going into the final day, that's where I'll stick my cash.
I think these competitions will probably go to short odds favourites. The only other player I'd say I possibly fancy would be Daniel Berger. He's got what it takes to get in about the big boys, but I don't know if he has what it takes to get over the line when there is a very strong field.
Strange though that my betting success is often seasonal in various sports. I struggle with golf at this time of year but do very well January through to the Masters. There will often only be a few strong players in the field, and you'll get a feel for certain "hot" players (I've done really well backing Matsuyama, Justin Thomas and Adam Scott in recent years).
Football too, I struggle at the beginning and ends of the season when you don't know so much about what is going on. Once it has all settled down, in about October through to March, you can see who is in form, who is not, and where the value lies. That's when I tend to do best.
I promised myself I wouldn't get stuck in as much this August/ September - then I bloody did anyway, and have been stung.